NZD/USD: Risks for NZD are on the downside – UOB Group

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could drop further and test 0.5510 before stabilization can be expected. In the longer run, risks for NZD are on the downside; it must break clearly below 0.5510 before a move to 0.5450 is likely, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

NZD can test 0.5510 before stabilization

24-HOUR VIEW: “The sharp drop in NZD this morning appears to be excessive. However, the weakness has not stabilized, and NZD could drop further and test 0.5500 before stabilization can be expected. As conditions are already deeply oversold, a sustained decline below 0.5510 seems unlikely for now. Resistance levels are at 0.5575 and 0.5600.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Although the plunge in NZD today indicates continuing downside risk, it is worth noting that 0.5510 is a significant support level. NZD must break and remain below this level before a move to 0.5450 is likely. The chance of NZD is breaking clearly below 0.5450 will remain intact, provided that 0.5630 is not breached in the coming days.”