Explosive upside convexity in Silver markets remains underpriced – TDS

Importantly, new ATHs in gold could finally catalyze a breakout in silver markets, where we see unique implications from the dislocations in metals markets associated with tariff threats. The market is sleepwalking into a #silversqueeze, TDS’ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.

XAU/XAG ratio sits at the highs

“A breakout appears imminent given a) the XAU/XAG ratio sits at the highs, b) CTAs and discretionary traders both hold significant dry-powder to deploy, c) SHFE silver aggregate open interest sits at multiyear lows, but the largest traders in Shanghai have been adding to their books over the last months.

“D) London silver continues to trade tight, e) assumptions that any potential #silversqueeze will easily be resolved fail to recognize that pressure release valves require higher prices first before they can kick in. Explosive upside convexity in silver markets remains severely underpriced.”