USD/CHF – which looked as if it might be reversing trend and starting a new short-term downtrend at the start of the week – suddenly turned on a dime and spiked higher on Wednesday.
The pair rallied to a higher high, giving the established uptrend a shot in the arm. USD/CHF has since peaked and started to go sideways, forming what looks like a potential Bull Flag continuation price pattern.
If it is indeed a Bull Flag pattern it indicates more upside is on the cards for USD/CHF.
A break above the flag’s high of 0.8775 would probably result in a continuation higher to a target at 0.8832, the 61.8% Fibonacci extrapolation of the flagpole or “Pole” higher. The flagpole is the steep rally prior to the consolidation.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator is not yet overbought but it is close. This suggests there is still more scope for upside before the uptrend becomes temporarily exhausted. If RSI enters the overbought zone it will be a signal for long-holders not to add to their positions.