瑞典央行自去年5月以来已将利率下调150个基点,这些降息开始显示出早期成功的迹象,高频指标和房地产市场最近显著反弹,ING的外汇分析师Francesco Pesole指出
![placeholder](data:image/png;base64,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)
来源 Fxstreet2024 年 12 月 17 日
瑞典央行在 11 月将关键利率从 3.25% 下调 50 个基点至 2.75%,并同时发出信号称可能会有更多的降息。德国商业银行的外汇分析师 Antje Praefcke 指出,12 月和 2025 年上半年也可能下调政策利率,这与 9 月份传达的信息一致。
![placeholder](data:image/png;base64,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)
来源 Fxstreet2024 年 11 月 20 日
近期瑞典宏观经济数据令人失望,期待已久的周期性反弹尚未出现。疲软的经济增长前景显然已经开始让瑞典央行感到不安,这也是他们在 11 月份的会议上 "大刀阔斧 "降息50 个基点的主要原因。尽管近期的宏观形势令人失望,但我们仍然看好 2025 年瑞典经济的大幅增长,我们也认为瑞典经济的表现将优于欧元区。丹斯克银行的外汇分析师指出,然而,这可能还不足以成为瑞典克朗的有利因素,因为美国经济持续表现优异的全球周期性前景往往会对瑞典克朗产生负面 影响。