Euro (EUR) is up an impressive 0.7% against the US Dollar (USD) and recovering back toward the upper end of its four- session range, strengthening in tandem with its regional peers Swiss Franc (CHF) and Swedish Krona (SEK), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
"Final euro area March CPI figures were in line with expectations (2.2% y/y headline, 2.4% y/y core), and rate expectations for Thursday’s ECB have remained largely unchanged pricing in one full 25bpt cut for the meeting. The market narrative around trade continues to dictate near-term movement in EUR as tensions provide support and easing concerns provide for consolidation."
"EUR/USD’s consolidation is extending for a fourth session with movement roughly bound between the mid-1.12s and mid-1.14s. Momentum remains overbought with a 70+ RSI and the signal may be hinting to exhaustion."