Dow Jones Industrial Average slides as markets digest mixed economic data and Fed remarks
- Dow Jones drops over 1.40% to 43,980 as investor sentiment weakens.
- The US Dollar Index retreats below 106.90 after Trump hints at a potential trade deal with China.
- US Initial Jobless Claims miss estimates, raising concerns about labor market resilience.
- St. Louis Fed warns of inflation risks, while Atlanta Fed’s Bostic sees room for two rate cuts this year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), which measures the performance of 30 large-cap US stocks, fell sharply on Thursday, dropping more than 1.40% to 43,980. Investors reacted to mixed economic data and cautious remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. The labor market showed signs of weakness, while the possibility of a United States (US)-China trade deal helped ease concerns over upcoming tariffs.
Daily digest market movers: Dow Jones tumbles as economic concerns grow
- The Dow extended losses as market participants digested weaker-than-expected weekly jobless claims.
- Initial Jobless Claims rose to 219,000, exceeding estimates of 215,000 and higher than the previous 214,000.
- Continuing Jobless Claims climbed to 1.869 million, surpassing forecasts and the previous 1.845 million.
- The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey printed at 18.1, below expectations of 20 and January’s 44.3.
- US President Donald Trump hinted at a potential trade deal with China, easing concerns over April’s tariff hikes.
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell below 106.90 following Trump’s comments, signaling reduced demand for safe-haven assets.
- St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem warned of rising inflation expectations and the risk of stagflation.
- Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic reiterated that two rate cuts remain possible this year, depending on economic conditions.
- The Dow remains under selling pressure, struggling to regain key technical levels after breaking below 44,000.
Technical Analysis
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen below 44,000, accelerating downside momentum. The break below the 20-day SMA at 44,580 confirms a bearish trend, with sellers gaining control. If the index fails to hold above 43,900, further declines toward the 100-day SMA around 43,480 could follow. A recovery above 44,200 is needed to ease immediate selling pressure.
Fed FAQs
Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.
In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.
Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.
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