O ano de 2024 marcou um marco histórico para o ecossistema de criptomoedas. Testemunhou a aprovação dos primeiros fundos negociados em bolsa (ETFs) Bitcoin e Ethereum , sinalizando uma mudança sísmica na adoção institucional. Se a taxa de aprovação de janeiro servir de referência, juntamente com a atual posição política dos EUA em relação aos ativos digitais, os Crypto ETFs estão preparados para um 2025 transformador.
Desde que os ETFs criptográficos à vista foram aprovados, os veículos de investimento acumularam mais de 5% do fornecimento total do Bitcoin , um número que supera até mesmo os estimados 1,1 milhão de BTC associados ao matic criador do Bitcoin , Satoshi Nakamoto .
Desde janeiro, a história dos cripto ETFs tem sido de contínuo amadurecimento do mercado. O lançamento dos ETFs Bitcoin em janeiro, seguido pelos ETFs Ethereum em julho, preparou o terreno para um cenário de ETFs criptográficos mais diversificado em 2025.
Os analistas prevêem uma onda de novas ofertas de ETF para os principais protocolos de criptografia, incluindo Solana , XRP , Litecoin (LTC), Hedera (HBAR) e outros.
O ambiente regulatório em mudança também desempenha um papel crítico. Com a saída do presidente da SEC, Gary Gensler, uma figura conhecida por sua postura “injusta” em relação aos criptoativos, e a nomeação do pró-criptomoeda Paul Atkins pelo presidente dent Donald Trump , as perspectivas para os cripto ETFs em 2025 parecem significativamente mais promissoras.
Uma abordagem regulatória mais leve poderia abrir caminho para uma aprovação mais ampla de ETFs vinculados a diversas criptomoedas, integrando ainda mais os ativos digitais nos principais mercados financeiros.
Solana , um blockchain de alto desempenho com um ecossistema robusto que abrange finanças descentralizadas, NFTs e jogos, é o principal candidato para inclusão em ETF. Em dezembro, a SEC rejeitou pedidos de ETFs Solana à vista de vários emissores, citando obstáculos regulatórios .
🚨SCOOP: Confirmei que o @SECGov notificou pelo menos dois dos cinco possíveis emissores de que rejeitará seus registros 19b4 para os ETFs spot $SOL .
O consenso aqui, segundo me disseram, é que a SEC não aceitará nenhum novo #crypto ETFs sob a atual administração.
— Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett) 6 de dezembro de 2024
Despite this, optimism remains high for 2025, especially following Trump’s electoral win and the anticipated regulatory shift under Paul Atkins.
Major asset management firms like VanEck, 21Shares, and Canary Capital have filed for Solana ETFs, with applications gaining traction post-election.
“It appears the SEC is now engaging with issuers on this product, which is obviously a positive sign,” noted Nate Geraci.
Industry insiders believe Solana’s success, alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, will set a precedent for its approval by the end of 2025. However, analysts from JPMorgan caution that pending lawsuits regarding unregistered securities could delay Solana’s ETF timeline.
Ripple’s XRP has long been at the center of regulatory battles, with the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple Labs serving as a touchstone for broader crypto regulation. Despite this, analysts believe XRP ETFs are on the horizon, contingent on the resolution of its legal disputes.
WisdomTree, Bitwise, and Canary Capital have already filed for XRP ETFs, signaling growing institutional interest in the asset.
Bloomberg’s James Seyffart suggests that while Litecoin and Hedera ETFs might gain approval sooner, XRP’s potential ETF launch will attract significant investor attention. With its ongoing legal challenges nearing a curtain draw, XRP is poised to reenter the spotlight, bolstered by ETF filings and growing market demand.
Dogecoin’s journey to ETF consideration, much like its whole crypto market journey, has been full of humor and speculation. The memecoin has won the hearts of netizens, and as funny as this sounds, inspired the naming of an Elon Musk-led unofficial US government office named the Department of Government Efficiency, acronymed as the coin itself, D.O.G.E.
I still can’t believe @DOGE is real 🤣🤣
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 25, 2024
Eric Balchunas had humorously hinted at the possibility of a Dogecoin ETF, but industry observers note that the concentrated holdings of DOGE present challenges for fair market assessments. Nevertheless, the more permissive regulatory stance anticipated in 2025 may open doors for DOGE-focused products.
Hedera, by contrast, stands on firmer ground. Its native token, HBAR, has not been classified as a security, giving it a regulatory edge. That said, only Canary Capital has made an application for a Hedera ETF. Bloomberg analysts suggest Hedera is among the most likely candidates to secure ETF approval among the likes of XRP, DOGE and ADA.
Cardano (ADA) saw a surge in interest following its inclusion in Bitwise’s 10 Crypto Index Fund ETF application. The announcement triggered a seven-month high in ADA trading volume, alongside increased whale activity.
ETF expert Geraci also predicts that Cardano could join the US spot ETF market as soon as Solana and XRP get approved, further cementing its position as a top-tier cryptocurrency.
Crypto Capital Venture founder Dan Gambardello believes Cardano’s ecosystem developments and potential ETF approval could propel its price significantly. While regulatory clarity remains a prerequisite, Cardano’s growing institutional appeal positions it as a strong contender for ETF approval in 2025.
As the crypto industry enters 2025, the rise of ETFs signals a new era of growth and maturity. Bitcoin is slowly solidifying its role as a global reserve asset, which is forcing watchdogs to clear the air on regulatory frameworks. It’s only a matter of time before the stage is set for widespread adoption.
The exponential growth of DeFi, stablecoins, and crypto ETFs highlights the transformative potential of digital assets in global finance. Supported by a more crypto-friendly administration, the industry is poised to render boundaries obsolete, which is why we believe 2025 could be the year for Crypto ETFs.
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