Bitcoin deverá atingir o pico no início de 2025, seguido por uma queda de 30% no meio do ano. Altcoins podem enfrentar correções mais acentuadas de até 60% durante o verão. No final de 2025, espera-se que o mercado se recupere, com as principais criptomoedas atingindo novos máximos.
VanEck destaca os principais sinais de um pico de mercado e possível correção. As altas taxas de financiamento em futuros Bitcoin , permanecendo acima de 10% por três meses, podem sinalizar que o mercado está superaquecido. Da mesma forma, se muitos detentores Bitcoin tiverem mais de 70% de lucros não realizados, isso pode indicar excitação do mercado e uma provável queda de preços no futuro.
VanEck aponta mais sinais de pico do mercado. Se o índice MVRV ultrapassar 5, isso pode significar que Bitcoin está sobrevalorizado. Uma queda nas participações de mercado do Bitcoin abaixo de 40% pode mostrar que os investidores estão favorecendo altcoins mais arriscadas, sinalizando o fim de uma corrida altista.
Por último, quando investidores inexperientes investem em activos especulativos, isso pode significar que uma bolha de mercado está mais próxima.
VanEck 🤝10 previsões criptográficas para 2025
Previsão nº 1: O mercado altista da criptografia atinge um pico de médio prazo no primeiro trimestre e estabelece novos máximos no quarto trimestre. Projetamos que Bitcoin seja avaliado em cerca de US$ 180.000, Ethereum seja negociado acima de US$ 6.000, Solana ultrapasse os US$ 500 e o Sui ultrapasse os US$ 10.
— VanEck (@vaneck_us) 13 de dezembro de 2024
Bitcoin’s acceptance could increase the crypto market, especially in the U.S., VanEck predicts that governments and institutions might start holding Bitcoin reserves.
Donald Trump is poised to lead Bitcoin-friendly policies in the United States when he assumes the office of the president. States like Texas, Florida, and Pennsylvania are already showing interest in exploring Bitcoin investments.
The shift toward Bitcoin isn’t just in the U.S. Countries like Russia and Canada are also exploring Bitcoin reserves to protect against unstable fiat currencies. Vancouver has even approved a Bitcoin reserve to guard against inflation and market changes, showing growing global trust in Bitcoin’s value.
Stablecoins, digital currencies backed by assets like the U.S. dollar, are set to drive significant growth in the crypto market. VanEck predicts that daily stablecoin settlement volumes will increase from $100 billion to $300 billion by the end of 2025.
This surge will encourage the broader adoption of blockchain technology in payments and financial services, making it a key component of the global financial system.
Institutional interest in Bitcoin is also accelerating, with major players like ARK Invest projecting its value could surpass $1 million by 2030. Financial giants such as Morgan Stanley and Bank of America are steadily increasing their exposure to Bitcoin, also signaling its transition into mainstream investment portfolios.
This growing adoption highlights Bitcoin’s potential as a long-term asset for both individual and institutional investors.
By 2025, the U.S. is expected to become the leader in Bitcoin mining, with lower energy costs and favorable government policies. Bitcoin’s use in the financial world will grow with the development of Layer-2 solutions which will make transactions faster and support decentralized apps (dApps). Additionally, tokenized securities, which are digital versions of traditional assets like stocks and bonds, will become more popular, reaching an estimated $50 billion in value.
As the crypto space evolves, AI-powered agents will change how decentralized finance (DeFi) and gaming work, further integrating Bitcoin into digital platforms.
By 2025, it’s expected that 100,000 BTC will be locked in Layer-2 solutions, showing how important Bitcoin will become in the wider blockchain ecosystem.
VanEck’s 2025 crypto prediction is bullish, with Bitcoin and Ethereum expected to hit new highs. Institutional adoption, government Bitcoin reserves, stablecoins, and AI tech signal growing integration into the global financial system.
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