Euro (EUR) is unlikely to weaken much further; it is more likely to trade in a 1.0475/1.0535 range. In the longer run, current price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, expected to be between 1.0465 and 1.0610, UOB Group’s FX analyst Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
24-HOUR VIEW: “EUR fell to a low of 1.0498 two days ago before recovering. Yesterday, we held the view that ‘there is a chance for EUR to retest the 1.0500 level before a more sustained recovery is likely.’ However, EUR dropped more than expected to a low of 1.0478, closing at 1.0494 (-0.30%). Despite the decline, there is no clear increase in downward momentum, and EUR is unlikely to weaken much further. Today, EUR is more likely to trade in a 1.0475/1.0535 range.”
1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We indicated yesterday (11 Dec, spot at 1.0530) that ‘the current price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, expected to be between 1.0465 and 1.0610.’ There is no change in our view.”