USD/CAD: Little changed on the day – Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is unchanged on the session, holding in the low 1.39 area just below yesterday’s high which marked a virtual pinpoint retest of the August spot peak, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

CAD holds near low

“Back then, the USD closed well off the high and down on the session. Now, however, the bid for the USD remains persistent. Bargain hunters are treading lightly around the CAD at these levels, given the risk of post-election volatility in the USD. Fundamental factors which have helped drive the CAD lower in the past few weeks do appear to be steadying.”

“The CAD’s fair value estimate is unchanged again today at 1.3932, suggesting some (very minor) relief from bearish pressure for now. Neutral because major resistance at 1.3945/50 did hold yesterday but bullish because the USD closed out the day firmly and remains well-supported on minor dips.”

“USD gains remain very, very stretched on the daily chart and all else equal, I would probably be inclined to expect the USD to ease somewhat from a technical perspective from here. But the risk of heightened volatility in the next few days can’t be overlooked. Support is 1.3880 and 1.3750.”