Amazon's Stock Has Rarely Been This Cheap. Here's Why 1 Analyst Thinks It Could Soar by More Than 50%.

Source The Motley Fool

The current stock market correction has affected many companies, including Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN). Amazon is down nearly 20% from its all-time high, and is actually near the cheapest the stock has ever been based on its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. The tech giant's valuation on that key metric hasn't been this low in two decades. This is a big deal, and investors should consider scooping up shares right now, as this could be a golden opportunity to cash in on a stock that's rarely discounted.

Amazon has two major business units pushing its profits higher

Amazon's e-commerce platform is the part of the company that most consumers interact with. However, there's a lot more to Amazon, and its other units offer far more compelling reasons to invest. In Q4, Amazon's online stores unit grew sales by 7% to $75.6 billion, so it's the largest part of the business by revenue, but also the slowest-growing one. Furthermore, e-commerce has notoriously low margins, so it's safe to assume that Amazon isn't generating a ton of profit from those sales.

Start Your Mornings Smarter! Wake up with Breakfast news in your inbox every market day. Sign Up For Free »

Two other units account for the lion's share of Amazon's profits: advertising and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The company groups advertising into its commerce division categories when it reports profits, so investors can't see the exact margins this unit is putting up. However, by looking at other companies focused on digital advertising versus those focusing on retail, it's safe to assume that this is an incredibly profitable business for Amazon. In Q4, its advertising revenue rose 18% year over year to $17.3 billion. While that's 23% of the revenue of Amazon's online stores, if we assume that the online stores segment had about the same operating profit margin as Walmart (4.3%) and that the digital advertising segment had a margin comparable to that of Alphabet (32%), then we'd conclude that online stores segment would have generated about $3.25 billion in operating profits while advertising generated about $5.54 billion.

True, those are assumptions based on the margins of similar businesses (because Amazon doesn't publicize the operating margins of all of its business units), but they illustrate how important digital advertising is to Amazon.

The company, does, however, break out its operating margins for AWS, and they are much higher than the margins of its commerce-focused segments.

In Q4, the cloud computing segment had an operating margin of 37%. This far exceeds Amazon's companywide operating margin of 11.3%. Moreover, for the full year, AWS provided 58% of Amazon's operating profits, so from a bottom-line perspective, it's the company's most important business unit.

Investors should keep in mind that even if the U.S. enters an economic downturn, the part of Amazon's business that is its biggest profit driver will not be as heavily affected as its more consumer-focused units. In that light, they may find it easier to justify buying the stock today.

Amazon has never been this cheap before

Amazon's stock now trades at 35.5 times trailing earnings; it has seldom been this cheap.

AMZN PE Ratio Chart

AMZN PE Ratio data by YCharts.

Indeed, the last time Amazon's valuation was this low was in the mid-2000s, when its business looked far different from what it looks like today. As a result, I think this share price slide presents a great buying opportunity, as in the longer term, AWS and digital advertising are likely to push Amazon's earnings -- and the stock price -- much higher.

Analyst Nat Schindler at Scotiabank gave similar reasons to support the $306 12-month price target he put on Amazon's stock in January. That would amount to a rise of more than 50% from the current price -- a massive potential gain.

While I don't know if Amazon's stock will grow that much this year, I think Schindler generally has the right idea here. As a result, I think right now would be an excellent time to buy Amazon stock.

Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

  • Nvidia: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2009, you’d have $315,521!*
  • Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $40,476!*
  • Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $495,070!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

Continue »

*Stock Advisor returns as of March 14, 2025

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Keithen Drury has positions in Alphabet and Amazon. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, and Walmart. The Motley Fool recommends Bank Of Nova Scotia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Natural Gas sinks to pivotal level as China’s demand slumpsNatural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
Author  FXStreet
Jul 01, 2024
Natural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
placeholder
Elon Musk’s D.O.G.E fails to stop US federal spending from hitting all-time highsUS federal spending just hit a record $603 billion in February, in spite of Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E) tearing through government agencies with mass firings and budget cuts. Treasury data released Wednesday confirms that spending still jumped by $40 billion compared to last year, a 7% increase, exposing how difficult it is […]
Author  Cryptopolitan
Mar 13, Thu
US federal spending just hit a record $603 billion in February, in spite of Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E) tearing through government agencies with mass firings and budget cuts. Treasury data released Wednesday confirms that spending still jumped by $40 billion compared to last year, a 7% increase, exposing how difficult it is […]
placeholder
XRP Price Builds Base—Short-Term Rally May Be BrewingXRP price started a fresh recovery wave above the $2.120 zone. The price is now consolidating and might clear the $2.350 resistance zone. XRP price started a fresh recovery wave above the $2.120
Author  NewsBTC
Mar 14, Fri
XRP price started a fresh recovery wave above the $2.120 zone. The price is now consolidating and might clear the $2.350 resistance zone. XRP price started a fresh recovery wave above the $2.120
placeholder
Tesla Stock Plunges 36%! Trade War Threats Escalate, Manufacturing Costs May Rise!TradingKey - Tesla's stock has plummeted over 36% this year, with the company warning in a letter to the USTR that Trump's trade war could make it a target for retaliatory tariffs.  Recently, U.S. aut
Author  TradingKey
Mar 14, Fri
TradingKey - Tesla's stock has plummeted over 36% this year, with the company warning in a letter to the USTR that Trump's trade war could make it a target for retaliatory tariffs.  Recently, U.S. aut
placeholder
Gold rallies to a new all-time high in its sprint toward $3,000Gold’s price (XAU/USD) hits a fresh all-time high above the $2,990 level at the time of writing on Friday, registering a weekly gain of over 2.5% for now.
Author  FXStreet
Mar 14, Fri
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) hits a fresh all-time high above the $2,990 level at the time of writing on Friday, registering a weekly gain of over 2.5% for now.
goTop
quote