Is Oracle Stock a Buy Now?

Source The Motley Fool

Despite not capturing the same level of market attention as some of its mega-cap technology sector peers, Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) has quietly emerged as a major winner in the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. A surge in demand for the company's infrastructure solutions and broader software applications has powered shares to a fantastic 53% return in the past year.

There's a lot to like about this cloud computing giant, but can the recent rally keep going? Let's discuss whether Oracle stock is a buy right now.

Start Your Mornings Smarter! Wake up with Breakfast news in your inbox every market day. Sign Up For Free »

Capitalizing on AI cloud infrastructure demand

The data-intensive requirements for companies building out their AI capabilities have made Oracle's ecosystem of products and services more important than ever. This includes Oracle's hybrid cloud solutions, spanning infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS), platform-as-a-service (PaaS), and software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings. The integrated platform represents a critical component of the AI value chain, enabling data storage, scalable computing for model training, and seamless deployment of AI applications.

The growth trends have been solid. For Oracle's last reported fiscal 2025 second quarter (for the period ended Nov. 30, 2024), total revenue climbed by 9% year over year, while adjusted earnings per share (EPS) was up 10% from the prior-year quarter. Within the top line, the bigger story was the 52% increase in cloud infrastructure revenue, reflecting what management described as a record level of AI demand, including with an increasing rate of new customers.

The financial metric that stands out is Oracle's remaining performance obligation (RPO), which reached a record $97 billion, up 49% from last year. This indicator, a measure of the contract backlog not yet recognized as revenue, provides some confidence for a growth runway. For the year ahead, management is guiding for double-digit revenue growth, with an acceleration expected into fiscal 2026.

The ongoing shift toward more value-added high-tech services should also help lift margins and earnings. That outlook is reflected in Wall Street analyst estimates tracked by Yahoo! Finance, which forecast Oracle's EPS growth to outpace the sales momentum with a 10.6% increase this year and 14.1% next year.

Metric 2025 Estimate 2026 Estimate
Revenue $57.7 billion $65.0 billion
Revenue growth (YOY) 9% 12.6%
Adjusted EPS $6.15 $7.02
Adjusted EPS growth (YOY) 10.6% 14.1%

Data source: Yahoo! Finance. YOY = year over year.

The Stargate Initiative growth driver

Perhaps the most important development for Oracle this year is its role within the Stargate Initiative. The AI infrastructure project, announced by the new Trump administration, aims to maintain the leadership role of the United States in cutting-edge technology through policy and regulatory support that recognizes its strategic importance to national security.

Funded through an initial planned investment of $100 billion by the Japanese holding group SoftBank, the joint venture includes Oracle and OpenAI and is focused on the development and construction of data centers to power advanced AI models. Oracle stands to benefit significantly as a key technology provider. It's partnering with OpenAI, which has committed to shifting its AI workloads to the Oracle Cloud Infrastructure as a new growth driver over the next several years.

The Stargate Initiative may go a long way toward helping to reaffirm Oracle's previously issued financial targets, incremental to its organic opportunities. The company expects to reach more than $104 billion in revenue by fiscal 2029, which is nearly double the $53 billion result in fiscal 2024. Oracle also expects EPS to accelerate above a 20% annual growth rate in the next five years.

Oracle investor relations presentation outlining fiscal year 2029 financial targets.

Source: Oracle.

A bullish outlook for Oracle stock

What I like about Oracle is its broader exposure to high-level themes in technology as a global leader in the ongoing digital transformation.

The company remains a major player in cybersecurity and data privacy, while its flagship Autonomous Database platform, with multiple industry-specific solutions, is now being used with AI and machine learning to deliver even greater productivity benefits. That layer of diversification beyond cloud infrastructure is what makes the stock a compelling investment. With the stock trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 25 times its consensus 2026 EPS, Oracle could prove to be a bargain if the expected growth acceleration materializes through its ability to capture market share as a high-performance hyperscaler.

Overall, Oracle is well-positioned to continue rewarding shareholders as it executes its profitable growth strategy, and the stock deserves a spot within diversified investor portfolios with upside in 2025.

Should you invest $1,000 in Oracle right now?

Before you buy stock in Oracle, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Oracle wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $850,946!*

Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

Learn more »

*Stock Advisor returns as of February 7, 2025

Dan Victor has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Oracle. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Will Japanese Authorities Intervene as Japanese Government Bond Yields Soar to a 2006 High?TradingKey - Japan's spring wage negotiations (Shunto) and inflation rate continue to bolster the prospects of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates. Following the 10-year Japanese government bond
Author  TradingKey
9 hours ago
TradingKey - Japan's spring wage negotiations (Shunto) and inflation rate continue to bolster the prospects of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates. Following the 10-year Japanese government bond
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD jumps to near $33 on US slowdown fears, US CPI eyedSilver price (XAG/USD) climbs to near $33.00 in European trading hours on Wednesday, the highest level seen in more than two weeks.
Author  FXStreet
9 hours ago
Silver price (XAG/USD) climbs to near $33.00 in European trading hours on Wednesday, the highest level seen in more than two weeks.
placeholder
BoC expected to trim interest rate again amid US trade warAll eyes are on the Bank of Canada (BoC) this Wednesday, with market consensus expecting another rate cut—the seventh in a row.
Author  FXStreet
10 hours ago
All eyes are on the Bank of Canada (BoC) this Wednesday, with market consensus expecting another rate cut—the seventh in a row.
placeholder
Pound Sterling holds onto gains against US Dollar ahead of US inflation dataThe Pound Sterling (GBP) stays firm near the four-month high of 1.2965 against the US Dollar (USD) in Wednesday’s European session.
Author  FXStreet
11 hours ago
The Pound Sterling (GBP) stays firm near the four-month high of 1.2965 against the US Dollar (USD) in Wednesday’s European session.
placeholder
XRP Price Eyes Upside Break—Can Bulls Push Through Resistance?XRP price started a fresh recovery wave from the $1.90 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might clear the $2.250 resistance zone. XRP price started a fresh decline from the $2.200
Author  NewsBTC
12 hours ago
XRP price started a fresh recovery wave from the $1.90 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might clear the $2.250 resistance zone. XRP price started a fresh decline from the $2.200
goTop
quote