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Prediction: The 2026 Social Security COLA Will Be Higher Than Experts Think

Source The Motley Fool

It's far too early to know what next year's Social Security cost-of-living adjustment might be. However, based on several inflation estimates, it's possible to make an educated prediction. In this video, Certified Financial Planner® Matt Frankel discusses what he foresees for Social Security recipients in 2026.

*Stock prices used were the morning prices of Jan. 27, 2025. The video was published on Jan. 28, 2025.

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The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Matthew Frankel is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through their link they will earn some extra money that supports their channel. Their opinions remain their own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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Anthropic files for a $2 trillion IPO — the $80.7 billion loss is the decoy, the $450 billion compute bill is the risk Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.

Author Irene Q.

Oct 27, Tue

Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.

Brent's $115 front month sits $4.6 above January — the $14 spread to WTI is the supply-risk premium December Brent trades at $115.29 while January is $110.71, a $4.58 backwardation. The December Brent-WTI spread is $14.2, versus a $3-5 normal. That gap, not the headline, is where the Middle East supply risk is priced. Here is what the curve says, why the December contract's expiry on October 30 will mechanically cut the headline by $4.6, and the 108.81 neckline that decides the next move.

Author Irene Q.

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December Brent trades at $115.29 while January is $110.71, a $4.58 backwardation. The December Brent-WTI spread is $14.2, versus a $3-5 normal. That gap, not the headline, is where the Middle East supply risk is priced. Here is what the curve says, why the December contract's expiry on October 30 will mechanically cut the headline by $4.6, and the 108.81 neckline that decides the next move.

The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% — and two officials voted to hike. December is now 85% priced The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.

Author Irene Q.

Oct 29, Thu

The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.

Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 30, 2026 Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 30, 2026. Read on for the details.

Author Mitrade

Oct 30, Fri

Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 30, 2026. Read on for the details.

US GDP grew 3.4% and core PCE held at 3.1% — December is now a hike trade, not a cut trade US Q3 GDP rose 3.4%, above the 3.1% estimate, while September headline PCE hit 3.6% and core held at 3.1%. December hike odds are near 90%; inventories, AI capex and energy explain why.

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US Q3 GDP rose 3.4%, above the 3.1% estimate, while September headline PCE hit 3.6% and core held at 3.1%. December hike odds are near 90%; inventories, AI capex and energy explain why.

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