Better Meme Coin to Buy: Dogecoin vs. Official Trump

Both Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) and the Official Trump meme coin, with the ticker TRUMP, are among the most well-known meme plays out there at the moment. But, contrary to what you may have heard, not all meme coins are the same in terms of their balance of risk to reward.

And, in this particular matchup, there's a lot to discuss. So let's dive in.

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This dog coin has already proven its staying power

Dogecoin is the meme coin that started its entire asset class within cryptocurrency, and many years later it's still alive and kicking, with an impressively large market cap of around $47 billion.

In terms of the investment thesis for buying Dogecoin, this chart does a better job of explaining it than words alone:

Dogecoin Price data by YCharts.

As you can see, on average Dogecoin shares a high degree of correlation with the action of Bitcoin. That implies if Bitcoin retains its habit of surging and ebbing in four-year cycles, in keeping with the rough timing of the halving of its mining reward, there's always going to be extra liquidity to flow from Bitcoin to Dogecoin.

Put more simply, if Bitcoin continues to make investors richer in specific periods of time, some of the additional money they make ends up getting spent on Dogecoin on average. That makes sense because investors can probably find a higher return during a speculative boom in Dogecoin than in Bitcoin, as it tends to be more volatile.

Then there's the other element of the Dogecoin thesis. As a meme, Dogecoin has continued to garner a significant amount of attention every few years for more than a decade now. Investors keep coming back in anticipation of the next run-up, and the meme itself is broadly recognizable and easy to riff on.

Furthermore, the coin may one day be included in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that give it more exposure to liquidity from the traditional financial markets. But those ETFs aren't approved yet.

Does that mean you should buy it? No, at least not until you've diversified your portfolio with safer investments, and not unless you're willing to lose all of your money.

The president's new meme coin is a gamble, but there are worse ones

Hot off its launch on Jan. 17, Trump's meme coin has a market cap of roughly $5 billion today, making it one of the largest meme coins that exists.

Though it doesn't have the same vintage as Dogecoin, it does have one very obviously powerful factor driving its price: It bears the name and endorsement of the president of the U.S., and it's the only cryptocurrency with that distinction. During what's expected to be a pro-cryptocurrency administration, having the explicit support of the president means that it is unlikely for Trump's coin to go to zero. It could also potentially catch a major tailwind if the president's actions cause people to want to buy his coin. And that dynamic could easily last for the entire four-year term.

Furthermore, much like Dogecoin, there are TRUMP ETFs that are currently under consideration for approval by regulators. Should they get approved, it'll be easier for investors with traditional financial accounts to pile in without needing to mess with any cryptocurrency software or applications.

But none of these drivers can make this coin into a good investment, only one that's less bad than other meme coins. Still, in comparison to Dogecoin, the official Trump coin actually has a serious impediment: It's inherently political.

Regardless of their political opinions, the mere whiff of an enduring threat from politics will keep away at least some potential investors, even if it'll attract others. Thus there is likely a lower ceiling on the coin's total accessible value within the cryptocurrency sector. Then there's the inescapable risk that some of the president's actions could detrimentally influence the price of the coin, which can't be ruled out if one admits that other actions could be beneficial, which is a core part of the investment thesis for the coin.

So, between Dogecoin and Trump's official coin, Dogecoin is the better option. It has an established pattern of price action, and it isn't as vulnerable to political risks despite being exposed to political catalysts in the form of potential future ETF approvals. But, as mentioned previously, you shouldn't be spending your hard-earned dollars on speculating on these memes if there are safer investments out there that you haven't touched yet.

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Alex Carchidi has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.