New Glenn's Launch Is an Even Bigger Deal for Amazon Than for Blue Origin Itself

Source The Motley Fool

Jeff Bezos has finally done it. He's finally reached space with an honest-to-goodness orbital-class rocket.

Ten years ago, Bezos ignited a feud with SpaceX founder Elon Musk when his Blue Origin rocket company launched a suborbital New Shepard rocket to the edge of space and then landed it back on Earth. SpaceX was still trying to get its Falcon 9 rockets to land on a barge at sea back then. When Bezos boasted that he had landed first, therefore, Musk was quick to point out that the Blue Origin rocket lacked the ability to orbit Earth, so Blue Origin's accomplishment wasn't nearly as big a deal as it was made out to be.

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But this latest one definitely is.

Blue Origin's big day

In the wee morning hours of Thursday, Jan. 16, Blue Origin launched its first New Glenn orbital-class rocket to space. The 322-foot rocket flew straight and true, reaching orbit on its first attempt, and its second stage deposited a prototype Blue Ring space tug in orbit. The rocket's reusable first stage then attempted a SpaceX-like barge landing, but missed its target and was lost at sea.

Well, drat on that. Still, it took SpaceX five attempts to work out the kinks on at-sea landings. It would have been more surprising if Blue Origin had succeeded on its first attempt. It will figure this out eventually. And once it does, the world will have its second reusable heavy-lift rocket -- and SpaceX will have a new rival to contend with.

SpaceX versus Blue Origin, round 2

Rated to launch 45 metric tons of payload to low Earth orbit (LEO) in an expendable configuration, and reported to cost about $70 million per launch, Blue Origin's rocket poses serious competition to SpaceX and its workhorse Falcon 9 reusable rocket. SpaceX's maximum payload to LEO, when not on a reusable mission, is only 22 metric tons. (Both rockets carry less payload when assigned to reusable missions, because they need to carry extra fuel for landing.)

And SpaceX advertises a launch cost of $69.8 million.

Granted, Blue Origin poses an even bigger threat to Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) and Boeing (NYSE: BA) and their United Launch Alliance (ULA) joint venture, which charges $110 million for Vulcan rocket launches. Airbus' (OTC: EADSY) Arianespace charges $77 million for an Ariane 62 launch, and is probably worried, too.

Still, unless and until SpaceX lowers its price to compensate, or gets its new Starship rocket operational, it will be trying to sell customers on a rocket that costs the same as Blue Origin's New Glenn, but carries only half as much cargo.

Jan. 16, 2024 New Glenn rocket launch.

Image source: Blue Origin.

Blue Origin and Amazon

Nor is this the only reason Blue Origin's success may leave Musk quaking in his space-boots. The biggest significance of Blue Origin getting New Glenn off the ground, you see, is that now it can begin flying Kuipersat internet satellites to orbit for Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN).

Amazon hopes to use Kuipersats build its own satellite internet system to compete with SpaceX's Starlink. Amazon faces a July 2026 deadline for getting its first 1,600 satellites in orbit, though, or it risks the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) pulling its license to operate the constellation. This means that, over the next 18 months, Amazon must somehow launch nearly 90 satellites to orbit per month, every month, from now through July 2026.

To help make that happen, Amazon has signed launch contracts with everyone from Arianespace to ULA to SpaceX itself -- 92 contracts in all. Logically, though, Amazon would prefer to do as much business as possible with Blue Origin. (Seeing as the two companies share a founder in Jeff Bezos, it's likely Blue Origin will give Amazon a good price.) Plus, now that Blue Origin possesses a rocket that can launch 600-kilogram Kuipersats into orbit, 75 at a time, Amazon has a second huge reason to favor Blue Origin over other launch providers.

Long story short, with 10 New Glenn launches planned this year, and a good measure of assistance from Arianespace, ULA, and SpaceX, there's a very good chance that Amazon will meet its deadline, and deliver Project Kuiper on time in 2026.

And Amazon has Blue Origin to thank for it.

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John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon. The Motley Fool recommends Lockheed Martin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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