Cathie Wood is the head of money management firm Ark Invest and is best known on Wall Street for her bullish stances on emerging technologies in artificial intelligence (AI) and genomics. One of Wood's higher-conviction investment themes resides in the electric vehicle (EV) industry. Not surprisingly, Ark's top EV position is Tesla.
Outside of EV cars, Wood also is optimistic about another pocket of the electric transportation realm, called electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. Across three of Ark's exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the company owns a position in eVTOL leader Archer Aviation (NYSE: ACHR).
Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. See the 10 stocks »
Archer shares have soared by 82% in 2024, and its current share price of $11 is near its highest levels in three years. While these moves could suggest that investors have missed out, I see an interesting catalyst for Archer going into 2025.
I'm going to explore a new partnership that Archer recently formed and outline why this particular deal could serve as a major tailwind for the company as President-elect Donald Trump and his administration assume power in Washington.
For much of its history, Archer has been seen as a potential airborne alternative to traditional ride-hailing services such as Uber or Lyft. Unlike premium services offered by the likes of Blade Air Mobility, Archer's primary use case has been focused on decongesting areas that experience abnormally high levels of traffic (i.e., cities) by offering an alternative platform to taxis or subways.
However, in this video, Archer Chief Executive Officer Adam Goldstein explains an under-the-radar opportunity for the company in the public sector.
"We don't need runways." @ArcherAviation CEO @adamgoldstein13 discusses the future of commercial taxi aviation https://t.co/b15WPRp46y pic.twitter.com/znhk5azrrz
-- Bloomberg TV (@BloombergTV) Dec. 13, 2024
As part of Archer's defense ambitions, the company partnered with autonomous systems company Anduril. Anduril is the brainchild of Palmer Luckey, a serial entrepreneur most famous for selling his virtual reality start-up, Oculus, to Meta Platforms. Anduril develops a series of new-age rockets and drone technologies. I think the partnership between Anduril and Archer makes a lot of sense, given the overlap these companies have in the aviation sector.
What makes Archer a particularly nice fit with Anduril is that the company's eVTOL aircraft emit very little sound, making them an attractive vehicle choice during military stealth operations. And while such an opportunity in the public sector may seem niche, keep in mind that the estimated market for stealth operations and military robotics is expected to reach more than $100 billion by early next decade.
When speaking about the incoming administration, Goldstein said he thinks Trump could be "very positive" and a "big benefit" to companies such as Archer as it pertains to regulatory approvals needed to further commercialize the business, as well as get more involved with public sector operations.
One of the hardest things to do in investing is making the distinction between a real business and an alluring narrative. I see Archer as smack in the middle of this divide.
Although the opportunities for Archer are intriguing, the company is in a pre-revenue state. And although it's signed billions of dollars worth of purchase orders, the company has not yet scaled.
Could Trump pave the way for more streamlined regulatory frameworks and speed up Archer's commercialization timeline? Maybe, but it's not entirely known yet if an issue like this is anywhere near the top of the priority list for the new administration.
Moreover, while Archer's use cases in the public sector make a lot of sense, it could be years before its aircraft are used anywhere.
I am curious and ever-so-slightly cautiously optimistic that Archer could emerge as a winner during the next four years. However, I think an investment in Archer is best for those who can afford a small allocation in their portfolio for speculative opportunities. If that type of risk is too much for you, I'd encourage you to move on and identify more mature opportunities in the EV or defense sectors.
Before you buy stock in Archer Aviation, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Archer Aviation wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $839,670!*
Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of December 23, 2024
Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Adam Spatacco has positions in Meta Platforms and Tesla. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Meta Platforms, Tesla, and Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.