You Can Outperform 98% of Professional Fund Managers by Using This Simple Investment Strategy

Source The Motley Fool

Professional fund managers are extremely smart, highly educated, hard-working, and ultra-competitive. If you can perform in the top 2% of all professional fund managers on Wall Street, you're sure to find yourself with a very handsome payday at some point. Not to mention, you'll have proven to have the investment chops to take on more assets, earning more money in the future.

Surprisingly, it doesn't take all that much to come out ahead of 98% of professionals over the long run. You don't need a 160 IQ. You don't need an MBA or to work 80 hours a week studying the markets. And in an ironic twist, the less competitive you are, the better you'll be able to stick with a strategy that can lead you to after-tax returns that beat 98% of professionally managed mutual funds.

All you have to do is buy a broad-based index fund and hold it for years.

A street sign for Wall St in front of a stone building with the word Exchange above the door.

Image source: Getty Images.

Here's why it's so hard for the professionals to outperform the market

S&P Global publishes its SPIVA (S&P Indexes Versus Active) scorecard twice a year. The report details the performance of actively managed mutual funds relative to their closest S&P benchmark index over various periods of time. The most recent update found 90% of all domestic funds underperformed the S&P Composite 1500 index over the past 10 years.

The explanation is simple. Professional fund managers are operating in a two-sided market. For every fund manager that wants to buy shares of a stock, someone else must be willing to sell those shares. Due to the overwhelming amount of capital held and traded by institutional investors relative to small retail investors, the vast majority of the time the person on the other side of the trade is another professional. They can't both be right.

As a result, the average fund manager will produce returns very close to the market average.

But fund managers don't work for free and the companies they work for aren't non-profits. That's why mutual funds charge fees. And when you factor fees into the mix, it pushes the average fund manager well below the market average. Consistently outperforming a fund's fees over a 10-year period is an increasingly difficult challenge. That's seen in the fact that fewer and fewer actively managed mutual funds outperform the benchmark index (after fees) as more time goes on.

Another factor makes it even harder to outperform

If it weren't enough that the vast majority of active fund managers consistently fail to earn their fees, real life makes things even more complicated. In real life, investors have to pay taxes. And more often than not, active mutual funds are very tax-inefficient.

Whenever you sell an investment for a gain, you'll owe taxes on that gain. If you hold the investment for over one year, you'll get a preferred tax rate, but if you hold it for less than a year, you'll have to pay regular income tax on that gain. Active funds, by their nature, involve more short-term trading activity than might be desired by someone looking to keep their tax bill low. And the fund passes those taxable gains onto shareholders.

S&P Global calculated the after-tax returns of the actively managed funds it follows for the SPIVA scorecard using the highest marginal tax rates for both income and long-term capital gains. To maintain an apples-to-apples comparison, it also accounted for the drag of taxes on stock sales and dividend distributions from the S&P 1500 index. The result was another 8% of funds fell below the benchmark over the last 10 years.

Yes, 98% of professional fund managers failed to outperform the total market index after accounting for taxes.

Invest better than the best

The results of the study are clear: You can outperform almost every professionally managed mutual fund by simply buying and holding a total market index fund.

One of the best funds for tracking the S&P 1500 is the State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF (NYSEMKT: SPTM). Its expense ratio of 0.03% is one of the best in the market and it does a good job of tracking the underlying index. As a result, you'll see returns roughly in line with the index that beats 98% of all domestic mutual funds.

What's more, the ETF has never made a capital gains distribution since its inception in 2000. Dividends distributed by the ETF are mostly taxed as qualified dividends. As such, you can keep your taxes extremely low by simply buying and holding the index fund.

Another option investors might consider is the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSEMKT: VTI). It tracks an even broader index of over 3,600 U.S. stocks. It has the same expense ratio as the State Street fund, and Vanguard is well known for its ability to keep its tracking error low. It should produce comparable results to the State Street fund. Some investors may prefer the Vanguard name or the greater exposure to not-yet-profitable growth stocks you can find in the Vanguard fund.

Either way, sticking to a simple buy-and-hold strategy for a broad-based index fund will result in returns that are better (after fees and taxes) than almost all of the options to invest with the pros on Wall Street.

Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

  • Amazon: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2010, you’d have $21,154!*
  • Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $43,777!*
  • Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $406,992!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

See 3 “Double Down” stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 21, 2024

Adam Levy has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Anthropic files for a $2 trillion IPO — the $80.7 billion loss is the decoy, the $450 billion compute bill is the riskAnthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 27, Tue
Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.
placeholder
Brent's $115 front month sits $4.6 above January — the $14 spread to WTI is the supply-risk premiumDecember Brent trades at $115.29 while January is $110.71, a $4.58 backwardation. The December Brent-WTI spread is $14.2, versus a $3-5 normal. That gap, not the headline, is where the Middle East supply risk is priced. Here is what the curve says, why the December contract's expiry on October 30 will mechanically cut the headline by $4.6, and the 108.81 neckline that decides the next move.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 28, Wed
December Brent trades at $115.29 while January is $110.71, a $4.58 backwardation. The December Brent-WTI spread is $14.2, versus a $3-5 normal. That gap, not the headline, is where the Middle East supply risk is priced. Here is what the curve says, why the December contract's expiry on October 30 will mechanically cut the headline by $4.6, and the 108.81 neckline that decides the next move.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 29, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 29, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 29, Thu
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 29, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 30, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 30, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 30, Fri
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 30, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
US GDP grew 3.4% and core PCE held at 3.1% — December is now a hike trade, not a cut tradeUS Q3 GDP rose 3.4%, above the 3.1% estimate, while September headline PCE hit 3.6% and core held at 3.1%. December hike odds are near 90%; inventories, AI capex and energy explain why.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 30, Fri
US Q3 GDP rose 3.4%, above the 3.1% estimate, while September headline PCE hit 3.6% and core held at 3.1%. December hike odds are near 90%; inventories, AI capex and energy explain why.
goTop
quote