Warren Buffett Has Dumped a Lot of Apple Stock Recently. Should Investors Follow His Lead?

Source The Motley Fool

Few investors and companies have as much of a microscope on their moves as Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A)(NYSE: BRK.B). But I guess that's what happens when your investments over the decades have built you a net worth of more than $145 billion and a market cap pushing the $1 trillion mark.

One move in particular that has drawn a lot of attention from investors is Berkshire Hathaway's decision to sell a lot of its Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) shares.

In the first half of 2024, Berkshire Hathaway unloaded about 505 million of its Apple shares, selling 115 million in the first quarter and 390 million in the second. That brought Berkshire Hathaway's share count down to 400 million, representing 29.4% of its stock portfolio.

Apple is still Berkshire Hathaway's largest holding by a solid margin. Its second-largest holding is American Express, which accounted for 13.1% of the stock portfolio. Bank of America (10.3%), Coca-Cola (8.7%), and Chevron (5.7%) round out its top five holdings.

Considering how much Berkshire Hathaway has trimmed its Apple stake, many investors wonder if they should take this as a warning of things to come and follow Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway's lead. If you ask me, I believe the answer is no, and here's why.

Why would Berkshire Hathaway sell so many Apple shares?

A few reasons make sense for the recent sell-off. To begin with, Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway likely believe cash is king right now, given the higher interest rates and what many believe to be high stock valuations.

Apple likely falls in the latter category. It's trading at 31 times its projected earnings, well above its average during the past five years and much more than when Berkshire Hathaway began building its stake in 2016.

AAPL PE Ratio Chart

AAPL PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts.

Another reason could be that Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway want to lock in some profits now before a potential increase in the capital gains tax rate (a move proposed by presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris).

When you're selling billions of dollars' worth of shares, a few percentage-point differences in capital gains taxes can add up to a lot of money. By locking in gains now at today's relatively low tax rate (21% for corporations), Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway could be saving itself and its investors millions, if not billions, of dollars down the road.

Should investors follow Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway's moves?

If you're already invested in Apple, I don't believe there's a reason to sell any of your shares right now. The tax reason makes sense for a corporation that owns hundreds of millions of shares, but the benefit won't be the same for your everyday investor.

Apple is still a world-class company that commands billions of people's attention (and money) globally. In its latest quarter (ended June 29), Apple generated $85.8 billion in revenue. Its $21.5 billion in net income is more than Adobe's revenue from its past four quarters combined. Needless to say, Apple is still a cash cow.

However, Apple's recent revenue growth (or lack thereof) and valuation make answering the "Should you follow Buffett?" question much harder to answer.

AAPL Operating Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) Chart

AAPL Operating Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts.

Apple isn't valued like a company that's only seeing 5% year-over-year revenue growth. I still believe the company commands a premium price, but that's surely something investors shouldn't overlook.

If you're in it for the long run, though, I don't believe current valuations should be what stops you from investing in Apple. A slump in the overall smartphone market took its toll on Apple's revenue (the iPhone is 45% of its total revenue), but it's taking steps to revive sales and shorten the upgrade cycle.

Buffett once said: "It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price." Whether you consider current prices "fair" is relative, but there's no denying Apple is a wonderful business. Long-term investors should keep their eyes set on the future.

Should you invest $1,000 in Apple right now?

Before you buy stock in Apple, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Apple wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $867,372!*

Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 21, 2024

Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. American Express is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Stefon Walters has positions in Apple. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Adobe, Apple, Bank of America, Berkshire Hathaway, and Chevron. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
WTI Crude Oil Price Forecast: Could Oil Return Above $100 as US-Iran Conflict Escalates Further?As of the Asian session on September 8, WTI crude oil prices (USOIL) continued to fluctuate at high levels, with the latest price trading higher near $92.30, up 1.2% on the day after touc
Author  TradingKey
10 hours ago
As of the Asian session on September 8, WTI crude oil prices (USOIL) continued to fluctuate at high levels, with the latest price trading higher near $92.30, up 1.2% on the day after touc
placeholder
AUD/USD climbs for a fourth day to 0.7218 as Fed-hike bets fail to lift the dollar; RBA speakers and US CPI now in focusThe Australian dollar has risen for four straight sessions toward 0.72 even after August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations and pushed September Fed-hike odds to 58.4%. A thin, holiday-thinned dollar is the short-term driver; Westpac confidence and RBA speakers today, US PPI/CPI this week and the Sept 15-16 FOMC will decide whether the rally holds.
Author  Irene Q.
13 hours ago
The Australian dollar has risen for four straight sessions toward 0.72 even after August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations and pushed September Fed-hike odds to 58.4%. A thin, holiday-thinned dollar is the short-term driver; Westpac confidence and RBA speakers today, US PPI/CPI this week and the Sept 15-16 FOMC will decide whether the rally holds.
placeholder
Japanese Yen rallies to February 18 high as upbeat wage data and GDP lift BoJ hike betsThe USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
18 hours ago
The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
placeholder
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Escalating US-Iran Tanker Attacks and Strait of Hormuz Risks Push Brent to $120? International oil prices continued to climb on Monday, extending their strong performance from the previous week.As military confrontations between the U.S. and Iran heat up again in and
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 35
International oil prices continued to climb on Monday, extending their strong performance from the previous week.As military confrontations between the U.S. and Iran heat up again in and
placeholder
Hot August jobs report reignites Fed-hike bets; S&P 500 slips below 7,700 — what to watch before the September FOMCAugust nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 42
August nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
goTop
quote