1 Magnificent Dividend King Down 25% to Buy Right Now Near a Once-in-a-Decade Valuation

Source The Motley Fool

Tennant (NYSE: TNC) is the global leader in manufacturing mechanized cleaning equipment, such as scrubbers, sweepers, pressure washers, vacuums, and autonomous mobile robots.

Since the turn of the century, Tennant has delivered total returns of over 700%, exceeding the S&P 500's mark of roughly 500% over the same time. This outperformance occurred in spite of the company's recent 25% share price drop from its 2024 highs.

Following this drop, Tennant's share price is back to where it started the year and looks to be trading near a once-in-a-decade valuation. While a discounted valuation like this would typically imply that something with the company is going wrong, I'd argue that Tennant's future looks brighter than ever, making it a promising investment today.

Tennant: The global leader in mechanized cleaning equipment

Tennant believes it holds a leading 14% market share of the $9 billion mechanized cleaning industry. The company is particularly dominant in North America, Mexico, and Brazil, where it commands a 25% share of industry sales.

Outside of the Americas, Tennant holds the No. 1 spot in Australia and New Zealand and also sells to Europe, China, and India. The company has between 5% and 10% of the market in these regions.

Although Tennant is a cleaning equipment manufacturer, it generates 36% of its sales from aftermarket revenue, such as parts, consumables, services, and software. In fact, aftermarket sales throughout a machine's usable life have historically equaled 80% of the equipment's original cost. These post-purchase sales create a long-lasting stream of recurring revenue for Tennant to receive after the original equipment sale.

Tennant has intensified its focus on growth through autonomous mobile robots (AMRs), recently signing an exclusive technology agreement with Brain Corp., a robotic navigation system expert. These AMRs work independently, with minimal human interaction necessary. AMRs also bring the potential for new annually recurring revenue from software subscriptions.

Last quarter, Tennant launched the X4 ROVR, its newest AMR that incorporates Brain Corp.'s technology, and it has already announced that it had to increase production to keep up with anticipated orders. In addition to this new demand, previous generations of AMRs continue selling well, with management stating, "AMR unit sales, including the export over for the first half of 2024, are trending well ahead of both the prior year and previous multiyear averages."

Over the last five years, Tennant's profitability has ballooned as it has shifted its focus from manual and mechanical equipment to these tech-dense AMRs.

TNC Profit Margin Chart
TNC Net Profit Margin and ROIC data by YCharts.

This rising return on invested capital (ROIC) is essential to investors as it shows the company is improving its ability to generate profits from its debt and equity -- a feat that frequently leads to a stock outperforming. Meanwhile, a rising net profit margin -- and the subsequent free cash flow (FCF) the company generates from it -- funds Tennant's ability to remain a Dividend King.

A Dividend King with ample funding for larger payout increases

Tennant has been raising its dividend payments for 51 consecutive years now, allowing it to become a Dividend King. While the company has only grown these payments by 5% over the last five years, its falling payout ratio could suggest that bigger increases may be incoming.

TNC Payout Ratio Chart
TNC Payout Ratio data by YCharts.

Tennant's payout ratio of 19% shows that its 1.2% dividend payments are easily supported, with ample room for continued increases.

Although management has over 800 merger and acquisition (M&A) targets in its pipeline, a larger dividend increase could be forthcoming if no deals go through. If Tennant finds a good acquisition, that would be a positive for investors as Tennant has a solid track record of successfully integrating newly purchased businesses, like IPC Group in 2016, which doubled the company's size in Europe.

Despite paying $350 million for IPC, Tennant's return on invested capital steadily rose to its current mark of 14%, showing the company's ability to generate outsize profits from the debt and equity it uses for M&A.

Tennant's valuation demands minimal growth

Even with the intrigue surrounding Tennant's AMR potential and its long-standing track record of dividend growth, its earnings yield (inverse of price-to-earnings ratio, so higher is cheaper) of 6.3% remains near 10-year highs.

TNC Earnings Yield Chart
TNC Earnings Yield5 data by YCharts.

Plugging the company's FCF into a reverse discounted cash flow calculator shows that Tennant would only need to grow FCF by 3% annually over the next decade to justify its current price. With management guiding for sales to grow between 3% and 5% over the long term -- not to mention the improving profitability it expects -- Tennant could quickly outgrow its valuation if it meets its growth goals.

Ultimately, Tennant's AMR growth opportunity, combined with its improving profitability, discounted valuation, and status as a Dividend King, make the company an excellent business to buy and hold for decades.

Should you invest $1,000 in Tennant right now?

Before you buy stock in Tennant, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Tennant wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $710,860!*

Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of September 23, 2024

Josh Kohn-Lindquist has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Tennant. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
EURUSD Long-term Forecast: Can ECB Hawks Overcome the Dollar Bullishness? As one of the most traded currency pair in the forex markets, the price of EURUSD affects many traders. Check out our EURUSD long-term forecast for more information.
Author  Mitrade
Mar 13, 2023
As one of the most traded currency pair in the forex markets, the price of EURUSD affects many traders. Check out our EURUSD long-term forecast for more information.
placeholder
Copper Long-term forecast: Will Copper Price Expected To Soar In 2023?The price of copper is affected by various of factors. You may wonder how the price of cooper will be in 2023, check out our forecast analysis.
Author  Mitrade
Mar 13, 2023
The price of copper is affected by various of factors. You may wonder how the price of cooper will be in 2023, check out our forecast analysis.
placeholder
What is SEI? Why did Binance, Coinbase, and OKX all list SEI coin simultaneously?Sei is a new Layer-1 public chain, and the launch of its token SEI can create new opportunities.
Author  Mitrade
Aug 16, 2023
Sei is a new Layer-1 public chain, and the launch of its token SEI can create new opportunities.
placeholder
Natural Gas sinks to pivotal level as China’s demand slumpsNatural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
Author  FXStreet
Jul 01, Mon
Natural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
placeholder
Global Crypto Inflows Surge to $321M: Bitcoin And Solana Drive the RecoveryThe global digital asset investment market has significantly rebounded recently, marking a strong recovery for crypto-based funds. According to CoinShares, global crypto investment products brought in $321 million in net inflows last week. This follows two weeks of outflows, signaling a shift in investor sentiment as macroeconomic conditions, such as the recent US Federal Reserve’s […]
Author  Bitcoinist
10 hour ago
The global digital asset investment market has significantly rebounded recently, marking a strong recovery for crypto-based funds. According to CoinShares, global crypto investment products brought in $321 million in net inflows last week. This follows two weeks of outflows, signaling a shift in investor sentiment as macroeconomic conditions, such as the recent US Federal Reserve’s […]
goTop
quote