US Durable Goods Orders rise by 9.2% in March vs. 2% expected
- Durable Goods Orders in the US rose sharply in March.
- US Dollar Index stays in negative territory near 99.50.
Durable Goods Orders in the US rose by 9.2%, or $26.6 billion, in March to $315.7 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday. This reading followed a 0.9% increase reported in February and surpassed the market expectation for an increase of 2% by a wide margin.
"Excluding transportation, new orders were virtually unchanged," the press release read. "Excluding defense, new orders increased 10.4%. Transportation equipment, also up three consecutive months, led the increase, $26.5 billion, or 27% to $124.6 billion."
Market reaction
The US Dollar (USD) showed no immediate reaction to this report. At the time of press, the USD Index was down 0.35% on the day at 99.45.
US Dollar FAQs
The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the ‘de facto’ currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world’s reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away.
The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback.
In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar.
Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar.
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