BoE expected to cut 25bps Thursday – Scotiabank

Final January UK PMI data were revised lower but both Services and Composite activity remained in expansion territory (at 50.8 and 50.6 respectively), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes. 

GBP firmer through low 1.25s

"The Pound Sterling (GBP) gains are stretching a little ahead of most of its G10 peers on the day so far. Thursday’s BoE policy decision is widely expected to result in a 25bps cut and signs that more cuts are coming." 

"The technical 'damage' to the pound inflicted by the weekend volatility in the USD was less severe than some of its peers and Cable’s improvement from Monday’s low suggests the strengthening in the pound’s technical tone that was developing in late January is getting back on track." 

"Spot is trading at a minor new cycle high today, holding gains above its 40-day MA and bear trendline resistance in place since late September. Cable may push on to 1.26001/0. Support is 1.2490/95 and 1.2400/10."