TRY: Lower-than-expected inflation after the start of the cutting cycle – ING

Source Fxstreet

December inflation in Turkey surprised to the downside with a drop from 47.1% to 44.4% YoY, below market expectations, ING’s FX analyst Frantisek Taborsky notes.

TRY returns to the weakening trajectory of previous weeks

“Downside risk was indicated by inflation numbers from Istanbul yesterday. This is good news for the central bank after the start of the cutting cycle last week. The month-on-month rate fell from 2.2% to 1.0% MoM, while the market was expecting 1.6%. The central bank can thus continue the cycle at the January meeting.”

“Although the market reacted strongly to the first central bank rate cut last week, especially at the front of the OIS and bond curve, we believe the market still has room to price in more cuts, particularly in this segment of the curve.”

“TRY stabilized yesterday and today after holiday volatility and is returning to the traditional weakening trajectory of previous weeks. Despite the start of the FX carry cutting cycle, it remains attractive, which should keep market attention strong this year.”

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Nvidia stock sinks 4% as Trump’s tariff plans rattle AI tradeNvidia shares fell over 4% early Monday after US President Donald Trump delivered a stern message about trade tariffs. Trump said on Sunday that no country would be given any special treatment regarding tariffs. He also signed new trade policies into effect on April 2, which he calls “Liberation Day.” This frightened investors, who had […]
Author  NewsBTC
Apr 01, Tue
Nvidia shares fell over 4% early Monday after US President Donald Trump delivered a stern message about trade tariffs. Trump said on Sunday that no country would be given any special treatment regarding tariffs. He also signed new trade policies into effect on April 2, which he calls “Liberation Day.” This frightened investors, who had […]
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Bounces Back—Can It Finally Break Resistance?Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $83,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to settle above the $85,500 zone. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $83,500
Author  NewsBTC
23 hours ago
Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $83,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to settle above the $85,500 zone. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $83,500
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Struggling but Short-Term Holders Might Be Setting the Stage for $150KBitcoin has recently displayed signs of upward momentum, trading at $85,215, marking a 2.2% increase in just the past day. Despite this short-term gain, the asset remains down by over 21.2% from its
Author  NewsBTC
18 hours ago
Bitcoin has recently displayed signs of upward momentum, trading at $85,215, marking a 2.2% increase in just the past day. Despite this short-term gain, the asset remains down by over 21.2% from its
placeholder
U.S. March Nonfarm Payroll Preview: Even If Data Aligns with Expectations, Financial Markets May Not Escape the Fate of VolatilityOn 4 April 2025, the United States will release its March Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. The market consensus currently anticipates job growth of 128,000, a decline from February’s 151,000 (Figure 1). W
Author  TradingKey
18 hours ago
On 4 April 2025, the United States will release its March Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. The market consensus currently anticipates job growth of 128,000, a decline from February’s 151,000 (Figure 1). W
placeholder
Gold price stabilizes ahead of Trump's tariffs announcement on “Liberation Day”Gold price (XAU/USD) stabilizes just above $3,130 at the time of writing on Wednesday following a mean reversal move the prior day after a fresh all-time high got eked out at $3,149 before closing in negative territory.
Author  FXStreet
17 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) stabilizes just above $3,130 at the time of writing on Wednesday following a mean reversal move the prior day after a fresh all-time high got eked out at $3,149 before closing in negative territory.
goTop
quote