Solana Price Prediction: Can Confidential Balances boost SOL amid Trump tariff tumult?

Source Fxstreet
  • Solana's $100 support shaky ahead of US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs.
  • Solana's Confidential Transfers feature morphs into Confidential Balances, encompassing privacy, fees, mint, and burn features.
  • Solana derivatives face $19.9 million in 24-hour liquidations as open interest falls 3.36% to $4.03 billion.
  • A falling wedge pattern on the daily chart could trigger a 29.78% rebound in SOL if validated.

Solana (SOL) stabilizes and trades around $105 at the time of writing on Wednesday, clinging to the daily open, as macroeconomic factors bite global markets, including crypto. The smart contracts token recovered the previous day, reaching $112.50, but quickly reversed the gains in the American session alongside majors Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) as United States President Donald Trump insisted that tariffs are good for the world's largest economy, escalating trade tensions, especially with China. Meanwhile, Solana's "Confidential Transfers" has transformed beyond privacy to cater to other features, including transfers, fees, mint, and burn.

How Confidential Balances elevate Solana ecosystem 

According to an article published on the Helius blog, a network validator, Solana's Confidential Transfers feature has grown over ten years to include various layers of confidentiality without compromising regulatory compliance.

Confidential Transfers, launched by Solana's Token2022, made it possible for token issuers to 'obscure' token amounts. The process involved processes like deposit, application of confidential balance and transfer on the sender's side. On the other hand, the recipient would accept the tokens into their confidential balance before withdrawing (optional).

Helius’ post says, "All of these steps take advantage of homomorphic encryption and zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs) behind the scenes so that, while sums are hidden, the system can still verify correctness."

However, Confidential Balances has transformed into an umbrella-like platform beyond confidential transfers, including a suite of extensions using cryptographic primitives to hide token transfer amounts, fees confidentiality and confidential mint and burn.

Solana developers currently have a Rust-based implementation in place and are working on JavaScript libraries, which are expected later in 2025. With this update, Confidential Balances will include native wallet integration, such as Phantom.

Solana's ecosystem could become more attractive to decentralized finance (DeFi) projects and institutional players with improved privacy features.

Despite the launch of Confidential Balances, Solana's price had minimal bullish impact as Trump’s tariff fears dominated sentiment. Leading investment banks like JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs have warned that the new tariff regime could weigh heavily on the economic growth outlook and see a stronger probability of a recession in the US. 

Liquidations in the derivatives market highlight the impact of Trump's reciprocal tariffs on Solana and other altcoins. As per Coinglass data, $19.9 million in long and short positions has been liquidated in the last 24 hours. A 3.36% decline in Solana's open interest to $4.03 billion indicates a growing risk-off sentiment.

Solana liquidations and open interest data | Source: Coinglass

Can Solana defend $100 support?

Solana's $100 level is a psychological support tested several times in 2024. With the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the 100-day EMA and the 200-day EMA breached and acting as resistance, the probability of a smooth recovery is dwindling. If SOL slides below $100, the next crucial level holds at $75, where bulls could tap liquidity for a significant rebound.

XRP/USDT daily chart 

A falling wedge pattern in the same daily chart hints at a possible 29.78% breakout (equal to the distance between the pattern's widest points), which could see SOL close in on $140 if volume surges and tariff-driven volatility declines.


Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
A Crash After a Surge: Why Silver Lost 40% in a Week?TradingKey - Spot Silver ( XAGUSD) prices have continued to decline; on Thursday, silver plummeted as much as 20% to break below $71 per ounce, and on Friday the sell-off intensified as prices fell fu
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 23
TradingKey - Spot Silver ( XAGUSD) prices have continued to decline; on Thursday, silver plummeted as much as 20% to break below $71 per ounce, and on Friday the sell-off intensified as prices fell fu
placeholder
Bitcoin is trading around $63,000, down nearly 40% from its peak near $126,000Wall Street desks are no longer talking about upside dreams. The talk right now is how far Bitcoin charts could fall if selling keeps piling up. According to data from TradingView, Bitcoin’s price now sits at a shocking $63,500, after falling from $70,000 just this morning, losing $13,000 in 6 days, and staying far below […]
Author  Cryptopolitan
Yesterday 09: 03
Wall Street desks are no longer talking about upside dreams. The talk right now is how far Bitcoin charts could fall if selling keeps piling up. According to data from TradingView, Bitcoin’s price now sits at a shocking $63,500, after falling from $70,000 just this morning, losing $13,000 in 6 days, and staying far below […]
placeholder
WTI declines below $63.00 as US-Iran talks loom West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $62.85 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The WTI price declines after the United States (US) and Iran agreed to hold talks in Oman on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 03: 10
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $62.85 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The WTI price declines after the United States (US) and Iran agreed to hold talks in Oman on Friday. 
placeholder
Bitcoin Surrenders $65,000 as Analysts Warn of ‘Structural’ Market BreakBitcoin plunges 11% to break $65k as analysts term the crash "structural," citing a $1 trillion market wipeout and $2.09 billion in daily liquidations.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 03
Bitcoin plunges 11% to break $65k as analysts term the crash "structural," citing a $1 trillion market wipeout and $2.09 billion in daily liquidations.
placeholder
Bitcoin Drops to $70,000. U.S. Government Refuses to Bail Out Market, End of Bull Market or Golden Pit? The U.S. government refuses to bail out Bitcoin, and with Fed rate cuts nowhere in sight, a continued downward trend to test for a bottom is likely after a brief rebound.During the mid-da
Author  TradingKey
Feb 05, Thu
The U.S. government refuses to bail out Bitcoin, and with Fed rate cuts nowhere in sight, a continued downward trend to test for a bottom is likely after a brief rebound.During the mid-da
Related Instrument
goTop
quote