JPY: BoJ hike speculation continues to build – ING
Source Fxstreet
Another day and another set of source stories ahead of next week's Bank of Japan meeting, ING’s FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
Dips may exhaust in the 153/155 area
“Today it was Bloomberg reporting that several officials felt a hike was likely. ING's economist covering Japan, Min Joo Kang, has been highlighting the risk of a January BoJ hike for a while – largely because the wage data has been coming in on the strong side. A 25bp hike in the policy rate to 0.50% is our call for next week.”
“Expectations of a BoJ hike (now priced at 80%) and perhaps fears of more FX intervention in the 158/160 area have helped the yen out-perform. Expect that to continue into next week's BoJ meeting.”
“However, dips may exhaust in the 153/155 area. Our rates team expect US Treasury yields to stay firm all year and the risk of 5%+ 10-year yields over coming months should support $/JPY.”
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