USD: Downside risks this week – ING

Source Fxstreet

Central banks and macro data have taken an unusual secondary role for FX markets as US politics, stock markets turmoil and some sizeable positioning adjustments generated volatility in some pairs inconsistent with macro developments, ING’s FX strategist Francesco Pesole notes.

A move below 104.0 for DXY is imminent

“In the US, the two main events of the week are the FOMC rate announcement on Wednesday and the July jobs report on Friday. The June dot plot projections look unreasonably hawkish given the recent data flow and market pricing, and we expect the Fed to pivot towards a more dovish stance in line with recent commentary and in anticipation of a potential September cut.”

“Markets are already pricing in easing quite aggressively in the US. A September cut is fully factored in and 68bp in total is expected by year-end. We can surely see markets adding easing bets across the curve following a dovish hold but we admit there is a chance that Fed Chair Jerome Powell errs on the side of caution and delivers a less dovish (and USD-positive) communication package this week.”

“Anyway, when adding the downside risks from jobs figures on Friday and a potential surprise hike by the BoJ, we have a bearish bias on DXY this week, and wouldn’t be surprised to see a move below 104.0.”

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Elon Musk is doing nothing to stop Tesla’s downfallTesla sales are collapsing worldwide, and Musk’s chaotic leadership and focus on political power plays are doing nothing to stop the downfall. The start of 2025 has been troubling, particularly in Europe, where Tesla saw a 45% drop in new registrations in January compared to the same period in 2024, with further declines in February. […]
Author  Cryptopolitan
Mar 24, Mon
Tesla sales are collapsing worldwide, and Musk’s chaotic leadership and focus on political power plays are doing nothing to stop the downfall. The start of 2025 has been troubling, particularly in Europe, where Tesla saw a 45% drop in new registrations in January compared to the same period in 2024, with further declines in February. […]
placeholder
Nvidia stock sinks 4% as Trump’s tariff plans rattle AI tradeNvidia shares fell over 4% early Monday after US President Donald Trump delivered a stern message about trade tariffs. Trump said on Sunday that no country would be given any special treatment regarding tariffs. He also signed new trade policies into effect on April 2, which he calls “Liberation Day.” This frightened investors, who had […]
Author  NewsBTC
Yesterday 01: 15
Nvidia shares fell over 4% early Monday after US President Donald Trump delivered a stern message about trade tariffs. Trump said on Sunday that no country would be given any special treatment regarding tariffs. He also signed new trade policies into effect on April 2, which he calls “Liberation Day.” This frightened investors, who had […]
placeholder
XRP Price Set For ‘Hot’ April With Low Fibonacci Levels And High $5-$8 TargetThe past 24 hours have been challenging for XRP holders. A sharp 5.8% decline in price has brought the asset close to testing critical support around $2, with selling pressure currently dominating XRP’s trading volume. The sentiment is turning bearish, but one analyst is confident in the cryptocurrency’s long-term trajectory, predicting that the altcoin is […]
Author  NewsBTC
Yesterday 01: 54
The past 24 hours have been challenging for XRP holders. A sharp 5.8% decline in price has brought the asset close to testing critical support around $2, with selling pressure currently dominating XRP’s trading volume. The sentiment is turning bearish, but one analyst is confident in the cryptocurrency’s long-term trajectory, predicting that the altcoin is […]
placeholder
PEPE Price Forecast: PEPE could rally to double digits if it breaks above its key resistance levelPepe (PEPE) memecoin approaches its descending trendline, trading around $0.000007 on Tuesday; a breakout indicates a bullish move ahead.
Author  FXStreet
22 hours ago
Pepe (PEPE) memecoin approaches its descending trendline, trading around $0.000007 on Tuesday; a breakout indicates a bullish move ahead.
placeholder
Gold price hits new all-time high ahead of Trump’s reciprocal tariffsGold price (XAU/USD) edges higher again for a second day this week and for the first day of the second quarter of 2025.
Author  FXStreet
17 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher again for a second day this week and for the first day of the second quarter of 2025.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote