Is Bitcoin (BTC) Poised For A Q2 Recovery? Analyst Points To 2017 Similarities

As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to reclaim the $84,000 barrier again, the flagship crypto risks closing the Month in red numbers. Some analysts suggest that BTC’s Q2 performance could mimic its 2017 rally.

Bitcoin Retests $84,000

A week ago, Bitcoin saw a star-of-week pump to retest the $88,000-$89,000 resistance zone. The flagship cryptocurrency surged to a two-week high of $88,765, hovering between the $85,000 to $88,000 price range for most of the week.

However, as the weekend approached, BTC lost its range, falling to $84,000 on Friday and continuing to dip over the next two days. Bitcoin saw an 8.2% weekly drop during the early Monday hours, hitting $81,278 before recovering.

After hitting its lowest price in two weeks, the largest crypto by market capitalization bounced from the range lows, nearing the key $84,000 barrier again. This zone has been a crucial resistance level since Bitcoin lost its post-November breakout range a month ago.

Since then, BTC has failed to maintain this level for significant periods. Amid the market correction, trader Daan Crypto Trades noted that Bitcoin has created another CME Gap, becoming the fifth consecutive week that a gap has been created due to price movement during the weekend, with all the previous ones being closed “relatively quickly.”

This week’s CME gap, between $82,500 and $84,100, was almost filled after this morning’s rally. However, analyst Rekt Capital pointed out, “BTC will need to rally more than that to try to seriously challenge for a reclaim of the recently lost Higher Low,” at around $85,000.

BTC To Consolidate For Longer?

Ted Pillows suggested BTC’s performance could see a Q2 recovery based on its 2017 price action. The analyst highlighted that during US president Donald Trump’s first term, Bitcoin’s “real rally” didn’t start until 2017’s second quarter.

Per the post, “BTC’s real gains during Trump’s first presidency started after Q1 2027. For the first two months, BTC just consolidated in a range similar to now.” Then, it started to gain momentum in April, pumping from $1,400 to $20,000 until December 2017.

Ted considers that if Bitcoin continues to follow its 2017 path, it could see a massive rally toward a new all-time high (ATH) later this year. It’s worth noting that Q2 has historically been mostly favorable for BTC, CoinGlass data shows.

Meanwhile, Rekt Capital also suggested that Bitcoin will likely continue consolidating a little bit longer after the recent price correction. The analyst pointed out that BTC failed to confirm its breakout from its triangular market structure.

He previously explained that, over the past six weeks, BTC has been consolidating between the two biggest bull market Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), the 21-week and 50-week EMAs, in a “very similar fashion to mid-2021.”

The analyst added that in mid-2021, “Bitcoin didn’t break from this similar triangular market structure right away either, upside-wicking towards and into the 21-week EMA but ultimately rejecting from there to experience additional consolidation between the two EMAs.”

This could suggest that the flagship crypto “is sentenced to a bit more consolidation between the two EMAs” before attempting to “kickstart an uptrend continuation towards the Re-Accumulation Range Low of $93,500.”

As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $83,297, a 1% increase in the daily timeframe.