Can Cardano Reclaim $1? Analyst Says ADA Price Must Hold This Crucial Level

Cardano (ADA)’s price continues to move sideways, holding its range for the past 10 days, while online sentiment grows. Some analysts suggest that a retest of the local resistance could be near if the cryptocurrency holds its crucial support zone.

Cardano Holds Key Range

Cardano has retraced 40% from its two-month high of $1.17, dropping to the $0.7 range over the past few weeks. ADA climbed 80% on March 2 after US President Donald Trump announced a “Crypto Strategic Reserve,” including the cryptocurrency, which sent the token to monthly highs.

After its massive pump, the altcoin retraced to $0.9, holding this zone through the following days. However, the March 6 executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a “Digital Asset Stockpile” sent ADA below the crucial level.

At the time, the White House’s Crypto Czar, David Sacks, clarified that the ADA and the other altcoins named were just used as a reference for the top cryptocurrencies in the market.

Since then, Cardano has moved sideways, hovering between $0.68-$0.75. ADA dropped to $0.64 during the March 11 market crash before bouncing. Despite the ongoing price action, online sentiment has been positive towards ADA this week.

On Tuesday, on-chain analytics firm Santiment pointed out that Cardano saw a highly positive sentiment on social media. The bullish sentiment was fueled by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) classification of ADA’s use case as “smart contracts for government services.”

The news “pushed bullishness to its highest rate in over 4 months,” the firm noted. Moreover, large-scale investors have also shown positive sentiment toward Cardano, with Whales purchasing around 190 million ADA tokens in the past 48 hours.

ADA Breakout Or Breakdown Next?

ADA has been in a downtrend since December 2024, when it hit its 3-year high of $1.32. The February market retraces sent the cryptocurrency’s price below several crucial support zones, with the token hovering between the $0.60-$0.80 price range.

Analyst Sjuul from AltCryptoGems noted ADA has “a weird-looking chart, mainly due to the announcement of the strategic reserve.” As a result, Cardano’s most crucial support level is at $0.66, as it could send it to monthly lows.

According to the analyst, “That level should hold; otherwise, all this recent price action will result in a distribution phase.” Previously, Sjuul affirmed Cardano’s chart displayed a Power of 3 in the making, signaling that the cryptocurrency was entering the third phase.

This pattern divides the price cycle into three phases: accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. In the last phase, a strong price breakout occurs, with momentum building in the direction opposite to the manipulation. Based on this, if ADA lost the $0.66 mark, the token could see a significant price correction.

Meanwhile, a pseudonym trader pointed out that the altcoin shows “a bullish reversal after breaking out of a falling wedge pattern.” Per the post, Cardano could enter a strong uptrend if it maintains its momentum.

Nonetheless, ADA must “hold the current support levels and break above the local resistance for confirmation of further bullish continuation” to the $1.22 target.

Analyst Ali Martinez noted that ADA trades within a right-angled descending wedge, with the upper trendline at $1.15. He suggested that a daily close above $1.15 would push ADA’s price to the $2 mark, not seen since 2021.