Bitcoin (BTC) has faced a slight setback in its recent upward trajectory, struggling to rally to the highly anticipated $100,000 price mark. The cryptocurrency has been consolidating below this mark for the past few days, leaving investors speculating about its near-term price movement.
However, a number of prominent crypto analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s prospects in December. This analysis explores some of their forecasts.
According to Juan Pellicer, a Senior Researcher at IntoTheBlock, December will be bullish for Bitcoin. This bullish bias will be propelled by “unprecedented institutional demand through Bitcoin ETF inflows,” which will drive the coin’s price above $100,000.
“We are observing a highly bullish scenario for Bitcoin as we approach December, primarily driven by unprecedented institutional demand through Bitcoin ETF inflows. This surge in institutional participation, coupled with a noticeable easing of macroeconomic pressures, positions BTC favorably for a $100K breakout. The current market structure suggests strong accumulation phases,” the analyst told BeInCrypto.
Interestingly, BTC ETFs have recorded net outflows this week for the first time in two months. According to SoSoValue, outflows from these funds have totaled $458 million. This decline comes on the heels of a significant drop in BTC’s price, which saw it trading as low as $92,000 earlier this week. This price pullback may have prompted institutional investors to pull funds from these ETFs in response to the market shift.
Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow. Source: SoSoValueNevertheless, another analyst, Brian Quinlivan, Lead Analyst at Santiment, has predicted a bullish December for Bitcoin. According to Quinlivan, Bitcoin whales will drive this growth if they continue to accumulate the king coin.
Bitcoin Supply Distribution. Source: Santiment“Bitcoin’s key stakeholders (10+ BTC wallets) have accumulated 63,922 more BTC in November alone, worth $6.06B. Even with the top hitting on Friday, they haven’t slowed down their accumulation pace whatsoever. This should be considered a positive sign that this mild dip is simply a mini retracement designed to shake out weaker hands and traders who bought at $98K/$99K,” Quinlivan said.
However, while also acquiescing that Bitcoin’s price may rally above $100,000 in December, Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, noted that the coin may face a short-term resistance at $105,000.
According to Moreno, an assessment of BTC’s on-chain realized price bands revealed that the price band near $105,000 (max band) was a significant resistance level back in March when Bitcoin briefly reached $74,000. This historical resistance may now influence the coin’s future price action.
This means that once BTC’s price nears this max band around $105,000, it may witness a pullback.
Bitcoin On-Chain Realized Price Bands. Source: CryptoQuantBitcoin currently trades at $96,795. For the $100,000 predictions to materialize, the coin has to reclaim its all-time high of $99,588, which has become a resistance level, and flip it into a support floor. If this happens, the coin may rally above $100,000 in December.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingViewOn the other hand, if selling pressure spikes, BTC’s price may decline toward $88,986, invalidating the analysts’ bullish projections.