Bitcoin Stock To Flow Model Reveals $500,000 Price Target

According to data from CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin (BTC) has gained by 0.66% in the past 24 hours with its market price now hovering close to $77,000. This slight price increase compounds an impressive performance in the last month during which BTC’s value has risen by 27.82%.  As the crypto bull season appears to be kicking off, the popular Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model has revealed a lofty price target for the largest digital asset.

Why Bitcoin May Reach $500,000

In an X post on November 9, a pseudonymous analyst and developer of the Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model shared a price prediction on the maiden cryptocurrency. For context, the Stock-to-Flow model is a popular market framework that forecasts BTC’s price based on projected scarcity. According to PlanB, data from this analysis model currently suggests that the crypto market leader will attain an average market price of $500,000 over the next four years with a projected price range of $250,000 – $1 million.

The analyst explains that the Bitcoin bull season is still at an early stage as indicated by the red dots on the Stock-to-Flow model chart, despite the recent price rally induced by Donald Trump’s electoral victory and even the “fake-out” recorded in Q1 2024 following the Spot Bitcoin ETF launch.

Aside from historical data, PlanB states multiple future events indicate BTC’s massive potential to attain the established price target.

For example, the pseudonymous analyst references Trump’s intention to establish a National Bitcoin Reserve which may likely be enacted by Senator Cynthia Lummis’s proposed Bitcoin Act that will see the US purchase 200,000 BTC annually for the next five years.  PlanB also highlighted Michael Saylor’s Microstrategy recently published objective to purchase $42 billion BTC by 2027. The market analyst explains that both massive acquisition programs would stimulate a high buying pressure on BTC which should translate to sharp price increases. 

In addition, PlanB states the Spot BTC ETFs have experienced enormous inflows, valued at $2.294 billion, since Trump’s election, which will only go higher in the coming months contributing to BTC’s demand.  Importantly, the analyst kicks against doubting the Stock-to-Flow model despite Bitcoin attaining an average price of $34, 000 in the last cycle rather than the predicted $55,000 since the market model revealed a price target range of $25,000-$100,000. 

BTC Price Overview

At the time of writing, BTC trades at 76, 745 reflecting a price gain of 11.85% in the past seven days. However, the asset’s trading volume has decreased by over 40% in the 24 hours reaching $28.33 billion.

Related Reading: Rising Bitcoin Funding Rates Signal Market Optimism—But Is A Correction Looming?