On-chain data shows that Cardano’s Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio has surged recently. Here’s what this could imply for ADA’s price.
In a new post on X, the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock discusses the latest trend in Cardano’s NVT Ratio. The “NVT Ratio” here refers to an on-chain indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the ADA market cap and transaction volume.
When the value of this metric is high, it means the value of the network is high compared to its ability to transact coins. Generally, this can signal that the coin’s price is overvalued.
On the other hand, the low indicator implies the market cap may be undervalued compared to the blockchain’s volume, so ADA’s price could be due to a rebound.
Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Cardano NVT Ratio over the last few months:
As is visible in the above graph, the Cardano NVT Ratio has witnessed a notable surge recently, even though the coin’s price has been following an overall bearish trajectory. This would suggest that the transaction volume has tanked on the network.
Following this latest increase, the indicator has spiked to the highest level since June, implying that the cryptocurrency hasn’t been this overvalued in six months.
The reason behind this trend is likely to be the lackluster price action the coin has witnessed for a while now. Other assets, such as Bitcoin, have started to pop off recently. At the same time, ADA has remained a sideways movement, so ADA investors may be fed up and leave to explore greener pastures.
“Historically, elevated NVT ratios often precede price pullbacks,” notes the analytics firm. Thus, the recent spike in the indicator could spell further trouble for the already struggling coin.
The Cardano NVT Ratio could now be to keep an eye on in the coming days, as any more jumps in the metric may confirm a bearish outcome. However, there is also the possibility that the trend will see a reversal, with enough activity returning on the network to justify its current market cap.
The cryptocurrency sector as a whole has been rising during the past day, and Cardano has followed suit. Although the coin’s surge has been smaller than Bitcoin’s, the asset has climbed above the $0.348 level. The chart below shows the coin’s recent trajectory.