TradingKey - As U.S. tariff policies cast a shadow over the global macroeconomic landscape, gold has reasserted its dominance as the premier safe-haven asset—outperforming both the U.S. dollar and Treasury bonds. Following a surge of over 20% year-to-date, major financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, UBS, and Deutsche Bank, are forecasting continued gains in international gold prices into 2025, with some gold mining stocks already doubling in value this year.
As of April 14, gold was trading at $3,232.95 per ounce. In 2025 alone, international gold prices have posted at least 20 new all-time highs, marking a nearly 22% increase since the start of the year.
On April 11, Goldman Sachs raised its 2025 gold price forecast from 3,300 to 3,700 per ounce and projected the metal could reach $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026. This marks yet another upward revision in Goldman’s gold outlook this year.
Goldman cited several key drivers behind the revision: higher-than-expected central bank demand, mounting risks of an economic recession, and robust inflows into gold-backed ETFs.
UBS also raised its gold price target to $3,500 per ounce, pointing to strong demand potential from both institutional and retail investors in China, where sentiment remains highly optimistic and signs of pent-up buying activity are emerging..
Meanwhile, traditional safe-haven assets like the U.S. dollar and Treasury bonds are under pressure. Last week, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) fell below the psychologically critical 100 level, while the 10-year Treasury yield jumped approximately 50 basis points in a single week—the largest weekly increase since 2001.
Analysts at Pepperstone Group noted that gold has become a clear beneficiary amid heightened uncertainty surrounding the dollar, describing the current market momentum as "absolute beast mode."
As gold prices continue their climb, gold mining stocks have significantly outpaced broader equity markets.
Newmont (NEM.US) surged over 24% last week, bringing its year-to-date gain to nearly 48%. Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM.US) rose 18% last week, with a year-to-date increase of 50%. Harmony Gold Mining (HMY.US) skyrocketed 32% last week, propelling its stock price up 109% so far this year.