Gold prints new all-time high on Israeli strikes across Gaza, ahead of Trump-Putin phone call
- Gold advances and sets forth a fresh all-time high.
- Traders add to their positions in the precious metal after Israeli strikes on Gaza end the ceasefire deal.
- Gold has room to stretch higher with a German vote on spending and the Trump-Putin phone call up ahead.
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) pops higher again and reaches a fresh all-time high currently at $3,028 on Tuesday. The precious metal trades around $3,025 at the time of writing. The rise comes after Israel executed military operations on possible Hamas tactical positions and buildings. The move is seen as the end of the ceasefire deal, which started in January and is likely to bring more Red Sea attacks by Houthi rebels and retaliation by Hamas as a counter-response to the recent intervention by Israel.
The ceasefire failure comes just hours before United States (US) President Donald Trump has a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin to reach a final deal to end the war in Ukraine. Concerns are plentiful after Trump said on Sunday that Russia and the US are dividing assets amongst themselves, which would mean that Ukraine has no word in the process while Trump bypasses NATO and the EU. Meanwhile, the German parliament, the Bundestag, will vote this Tuesday on a new budget that could boost defense spending by roughly $49 billion, Bloomberg reports.
Daily digest market movers: Safe bets
- Several analysts are pointing out that sluggish US data is another driver that benefits Gold. The influx of buyers on this commodity on Monday after rather sluggish US Retail Sales numbers shows that as the economic sentiment in the US turns, Gold is benefiting from traders looking for safe-haven assets, Bloomberg reports.
- With the upcoming Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting on Wednesday, the odds to keep interest rates at the current range are at 99%. Meanwhile, rate cut odds for next June’s meeting are at 68.6%, according to the CME Fedwatch tool.
- The global Silver market is under stress as trade-war concerns unsettle investors, with key indicators flashing red, millions of ounces on the move between trading hubs, and months of disruption in prospect. A surge in rates to borrow the precious metal has become the latest sign of alarm, according to Yahoo Finance.
Technical Analysis: All stars align
Gold traders have several reasons and arguments for one would push Gold higher. As several banks start to call $3,200, it sets a clear target for the coming weeks and months. However, traders will need to keep in mind that once markets are positioned in one single direction, that is the moment when the turnaround could occur.
The daily resistance levels R1 and R2 have already been taken out on Tuesday. That means the big figures are being used as guidance from here on out. Look for $3,020 and $3,030 as the following anchor points in the intraday trading.
On the downside, the intraday R1 and R2 resistances should be acting as support now. So that means $3,014 and $3,007 should support any brief pullbacks. The intraday Pivot Point at $2,994 is the first line of defense in case the $3,000 level cracks under selling pressure.
XAU/USD: Daily Chart
Gold FAQs
Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.
Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.
Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.
The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.
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