USD/KRW ticked higher after BoK surprised with a 25bp cut. Pair was last at 1396 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
“Disinflation pressure, slowdown in housing market and risks of slowdown in growth momentum may have justified BoK’s case. That said, a softer USD and dip in UST yield helped to negate the rise in USD/KRW.”
“Daily momentum is mild bearish while RSI fell. Consolidation likely. Support at 1392, 1385 (23.6% fibo retracement of Sep low to Nov high). Resistance at 1405, 1410 levels. Broader sentiment is still likely to drive USD/KRW’s direction until at some point later in January when market revisits the topic of any back-to-back cut.”