USD/CHF: Bullish but overbought – OCBC

The Swiss Franc (CHF) weakening this episode (QTD) comes alongside the decline also seen in other major FX, though the magnitude of CHF depreciation was slightly lesser (- 4.7% vs USD) compared to JPY, EUR, GBP, AUD (down over 5-8% vs USD). USD/CHF was last seen at 0.8871 levels, OCBC FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Bullish momentum on daily chart intact

“Safe-haven characteristic of CHF was likely one of the mitigating factors that saw CHF fell by less. Nevertheless, US election outcome was one of the main reasons that triggered broad USD strength as market contemplates a return of US exceptionalism under Trump presidency/ Red sweep.”

“Bullish momentum on daily chart intact though RSI shows signs of easing from near overbought conditions. Near term retracement not ruled out. Support at 0.8800/20 (200 DMA, 50% fibo retracement of 2024 high to low), 0.8720 (21 DMA). Resistance at 0.89 (61.8% fibo), 0.9020 (76.4% fibo).”

“Data of interests this week include sight deposits (Mon), trade data, Swiss watch exports (Tue).”