The US Dollar (USD) is likely to consolidate in a range of 148.10/149.40. In the longer run, although momentum has not increased much; further USD strength seems likely. Levels to watch are 150.05 and 151.00, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
24-HOUR VIEW: “Yesterday, we held the view that USD ‘is likely to rise above 149.50, but it does not seem to have enough momentum to break clearly above 150.05.’ However, the price action did not turn out as we expected. USD swung between 148.34 and 149.54 before closing at 148.56 (-0.49%). USD appears to have moved into a consolidation. Today, it is likely to trade in a 148.10//149.40 range.”
1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We continue to hold the same view as yesterday (10 Oct, spot at 149.20). As indicated, although upward momentum has not increased much, further USD strength seems likely, and the levels to watch are at 150.05 and 151.00. To maintain the momentum, USD must not break below 147.50 (no change in ‘strong support’ level). Note that we have held a positive USD view since last week.”