USD/CHF holds steady around 0.9040 area, just below over one-month top set on Tuesday

Source Fxstreet
Jul 3, 2024 04:49
  • USD/CHF stands tall near its highest level in over a month, albeit lacks bullish conviction.
  • The SNB’s position as a frontrunner in the global policy easing cycle undermines the CHF.
  • Traders await the release of US economic data and FOMC minutes later this Wednesday.

The USD/CHF pair trades with a mild positive bias for the seventh successive day on Wednesday and is currently placed just below its highest level in over a month touched the previous day. Spot prices, however, remain below mid-0.9000s as investors await more cues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate-cut path before placing fresh directional bets. 

Hence, the market focus will remain glued to the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, due later during the US session. Apart from this, traders will take cues from the US economic docket – featuring the ADP report on private-sector employment and the ISM Services PMI. The attention will then shift to the closely-watched US monthly jobs data, popularly known as the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. This will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar (USD) price dynamics and help in determining the next leg of a directional move for the USD/CHF pair.

In the meantime, the markets have been pricing in a greater chance that the Fed will begin its monetary policy easing cycle in September. The bets were reaffirmed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish-sounding remarks on Tuesday, saying that the US economy has made significant progress on inflation and is back on the disinflationary path. This fails to assist the USD to attract any meaningful buyers. That said, the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate cut for the second consecutive meeting in June continues to undermine the Swiss Franc (CHF) and acts as a tailwind for the USD/CHF pair.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favor of bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for the currency pair is to the upside. Hence, any corrective pullback is more likely to attract fresh buyers and remain limited near the 0.9000 psychological mark. Bulls, however, need to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the recent upward trajectory from the 0.8825 region, or a three-month low touched on June 18.

Economic Indicator

FOMC Minutes

FOMC stands for The Federal Open Market Committee that organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions, determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. FOMC Minutes are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and are a clear guide to the future US interest rate policy.

Read more.

Next release: Wed Jul 03, 2024 18:00

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Federal Reserve

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is usually published three weeks after the day of the policy decision. Investors look for clues regarding the policy outlook in this publication alongside the vote split. A bullish tone is likely to provide a boost to the greenback while a dovish stance is seen as USD-negative. It needs to be noted that the market reaction to FOMC Minutes could be delayed as news outlets don’t have access to the publication before the release, unlike the FOMC’s Policy Statement.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Copper Long-term forecast: Will Copper Price Expected To Soar In 2023?The price of copper is affected by various of factors. You may wonder how the price of cooper will be in 2023, check out our forecast analysis.
Author  Mitrade
The price of copper is affected by various of factors. You may wonder how the price of cooper will be in 2023, check out our forecast analysis.
placeholder
Understanding the first crypto market crash of 2024 and what to expect nextThe 365-day MVRV ratio suggests that this crash may be just the beginning. If the ETF is rejected before the second quarter of 2024, it could trigger a sharp correction.
Author  FXStreet
The 365-day MVRV ratio suggests that this crash may be just the beginning. If the ETF is rejected before the second quarter of 2024, it could trigger a sharp correction.
placeholder
US NFP Forecast: Nonfarm Payrolls expected to grow below 200K in December for third straight monthThe US jobs report could influence the market pricing of the Fed rate outlook and the US Dollar valuation.
Author  FXStreet
The US jobs report could influence the market pricing of the Fed rate outlook and the US Dollar valuation.
placeholder
Natural Gas sinks to pivotal level as China’s demand slumpsNatural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
Author  FXStreet
Natural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
placeholder
Gold prices steady at 10-day high as rate cut bets growInvesting.com-- Gold prices steadied at a 10-day high in Asian trade on Thursday after growing bets on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve pulled down the dollar and Treasury yields.
Author  Investing.com
Investing.com-- Gold prices steadied at a 10-day high in Asian trade on Thursday after growing bets on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve pulled down the dollar and Treasury yields.
goTop
quote