■USD/CAD edges down to 1.3600 as the US Dollar’s appeal is uncertain.
■US core PCE Price Index is projected to have grown steadily in April.
■Canada’s weak household spending and consistently easing price pressures prompt BoC rate-cut prospects.
The USD/CAD pair drops further to near the round-level support of 1.3600 in Tuesday’s Asian session. The Loonie asset is under pressure as the US Dollar (USD) weakens even though traders seethe Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping interest rates steady in the September meeting.
The market sentiment is upbeat despite the fact that rate-cuts from the Fed has been delayed. S&P 500 futures have posted some decent gains in the Tokyo session. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, has extended its losing spell for the third trading session on Tuesday and has dropped to near 104.40.
10-year US Treasury yields falls further to 4.64% even though market speculation for Fed rate cuts in September has diminished. Historically, the scenario is favorable for yields on interest-bearing assets but they still struggle for a firm footing.
Going forward, the US Dollar will be guided by the United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for April, which will be published on Friday. The Fed’s preferred inflation measure is estimated to have grown steadily on monthly and annual basis at 0.3% and 2.8%, respectively. This would weaken the case of Fed rate cuts in September further.
Meanwhile, the Canadian Dollar is capitalizing on upbeat market sentiment. Th near-term outlook of the Canadian Dollar is uncertain as investors expect that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will start reducing interest rates from the June meeting.
Risks of Canada’s inflation remaining persistent have eased due to weak consumer spending and dismal economic outlook, prompting bets favoring rate cuts in June. This week, investors will focus on the Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will indicate the economic health of Canada.
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