Bitcoin Repeats Historic Pattern—Is a Breakout Toward $100K Next?

NewsBTC
Updated
Mitrade
coverImg
Source: DepositPhotos

Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market have shown strong recovery, with Bitcoin surpassing $93,000 earlier today after an increase of nearly 10% in the past 24 hours.


The surge follows the announcement of a US crypto strategic reserve, which is expected to include major digital assets such as BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and ADA.

The news has fueled optimism in the market, pushing Bitcoin back above the $90,000 level. As Bitcoin’s price movement gains momentum, analysts appear to have been closely examining the ongoing correction phase within the current bullish cycle.


CryptoQuant analyst Grizzly has shared insights into Bitcoin’s historical price behavior, suggesting that the asset may be repeating past patterns that preceded significant rallies. If these trends hold, BTC could be positioning itself for a major breakout in the coming months.


BTC’s Historical Price Patterns and Market Outlook

According to Grizzly, Bitcoin is currently in its third corrective phase within the bullish cycle that began in early 2023. This pattern has been observed using the UTXO Age Bands—a metric tracking how long BTC remains unmoved in wallets.


Bitcoin realized prize UTXO age bands


Similar corrective phases took place in the summers of 2023 and 2024, each lasting around six months. During these periods, BTC experienced resistance before eventually breaking out into new price highs.


Grizzly revealed that if this trend continues, BTC may remain in a consolidation phase for another two to three months, fluctuating between $80,000 and $100,000. A breakout beyond $100,000 could mark the end of the correction and potentially push BTC toward $130,000, as historical data suggests.


The CryptoQuant analyst noted:

Market participants should closely watch the structural dynamics of the premium bands, as a confirmed break above resistance could signal the next parabolic leg of Bitcoin’s bull market.

Bitcoin’s Path to $100K: What Market Indicators Suggest


Another CryptoQuant analyst, OnChainSchool, has provided further insights into BTC’s potential price movement beyond $100,000. The analyst highlights the MVRV Z-Score, a metric that tracks Bitcoin’s valuation in comparison to its historical fair value.


Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score

According to the analyst. the current cooldown in the MVRV Z-Score indicates that Bitcoin could soon enter a rapid upward trajectory, similar to the price action observed in early 2024 when BTC surged past $72,000 to new all-time highs.


However, unlike past cycles, the market appears to be moving at a faster pace, potentially influenced by the evolving political landscape in the US.


With increasing attention on cryptocurrency from policymakers and institutional investors, there is a likelihood that BTC could break past its previous all-time high sooner than expected.


Whether this acceleration will be sustained depends on multiple factors, including regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and continued market demand for Bitcoin as a hedge asset.


Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

* The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

goTop
quote
Do you find this article useful?
Related Articles
placeholder
Cryptomarket falls as US Crypto Strategic Reserve hype fizzles into classic ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), XRP (Ripple), Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA) continue their declines for the second consecutive day on Tuesday after their recent upsurge on Sunday.
Author  FXStreet
1 hour ago
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), XRP (Ripple), Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA) continue their declines for the second consecutive day on Tuesday after their recent upsurge on Sunday.
placeholder
Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Shouldn’t Include Altcoins – ‘Miscalculation,’ Says BitwiseOn March 2, US President Donald Trump announced the inclusion of Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano in a newly formed Crypto Strategic Reserve, an initiative designed to integrate these digital assets into the country’s broader economic and monetary plans. The immediate market reaction was significant: prices for many of the mentioned cryptocurrencies spiked, reflecting […]
Author  NewsBTC
3 hours ago
On March 2, US President Donald Trump announced the inclusion of Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano in a newly formed Crypto Strategic Reserve, an initiative designed to integrate these digital assets into the country’s broader economic and monetary plans. The immediate market reaction was significant: prices for many of the mentioned cryptocurrencies spiked, reflecting […]
placeholder
XRP Rally Fades—Price Surrenders Recent GainsXRP price started a fresh decline from the $3.00 resistance. The price is up down over 20% and might extend losses below the $2.20 support. XRP price started a fresh decline from the $3.00 zone. The
Author  NewsBTC
5 hours ago
XRP price started a fresh decline from the $3.00 resistance. The price is up down over 20% and might extend losses below the $2.20 support. XRP price started a fresh decline from the $3.00 zone. The
placeholder
Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE’s bearish trend persists despite Musk’s supportDogecoin (DOGE) extends its decline, trading around $0.19 on Tuesday after falling nearly 17% the previous day.
Author  FXStreet
5 hours ago
Dogecoin (DOGE) extends its decline, trading around $0.19 on Tuesday after falling nearly 17% the previous day.
placeholder
Dogecoin Price Bounces Off Key Reversal Zone, Analyst Reveals Where It’s HeadedDogecoin has rebounded strongly after hitting a crucial support level, reinforcing bullish expectations laid out in a recent technical analysis. The popular meme cryptocurrency, which suffered a sharp decline last week, has defied concerns of an extended decline by bouncing off the $0.16896 reversal zone and now climbing toward higher levels. Now trading at $0.22, […]
Author  Bitcoinist
5 hours ago
Dogecoin has rebounded strongly after hitting a crucial support level, reinforcing bullish expectations laid out in a recent technical analysis. The popular meme cryptocurrency, which suffered a sharp decline last week, has defied concerns of an extended decline by bouncing off the $0.16896 reversal zone and now climbing toward higher levels. Now trading at $0.22, […]
Real-time Quote