Gold price buying remains unabated; fresh all-time high and counting amid trade jitters

FXStreet
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  • Gold price continues to attract safe-haven flows amid persistent trade-related uncertainties.

  • Bets for aggressive policy easing by the Fed and a weaker USD also benefit the XAU/USD pair.

  • Investors now look forward to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech for some meaningful impetus.


Gold price (XAU/USD) scales higher for the second straight day on Wednesday – also marking the fifth day of a positive move in the previous six – and touches a fresh record high, around the $3,283-3,284 area during the Asian session. The initial market reaction to US President Donald Trump's decision last week to pause reciprocal tariffs for 90 days fades rather quickly amid rapid shifts in policy announcements. Furthermore, investors remain worried about the potential economic fallout amid the ongoing US tariff chaos, which continues to underpin demand for the traditional safe-haven precious metal.


Apart from this, expectations for a more aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2025 turn out to be another factor that benefits the non-yielding Gold price. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) languishes near its lowest level since April 2022 touched last week amid the reduced faith in US policymakers and the weakening confidence in the US economy. This contributes to driving flows towards the XAU/USD and remains supportive of the positive momentum, which seems rather unaffected by overbought conditions. Investors now look forward to comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.


Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price prolongs its uptrend as US tariff jitters boost safe-haven demand


US President Donald Trump took a U-turn last week and abruptly backed off his hefty reciprocal tariffs on most US trading partners for 90 days. Moreover, Trump suggested that he might grant exemptions on auto-related levies after removing smartphones, computers, and some other electronics from steep tariffs on China.


Trump, however, said that exemptions were only temporary and kept in place 145% duties on other Chinese imports. Trump further promised to unveil tariffs on imported semiconductors over the next week and also threatened that he would impose levies on pharmaceuticals in the not-too-distant future, raising uncertainty.


China, on the other hand, increased its tariffs on US imports to 125% last Friday, fueling concerns that a tit-for-tat trade war between the world's two largest economies would weaken global growth. This continues to weigh on investors' sentiment and benefits safe-haven assets, lifting the Gold price to a fresh record high on Wednesday.


Meanwhile, Trump's rapid shifts in tariff announcements have eroded investors' faith in US policies and weakened confidence in the US economy. Adding to this, bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower borrowing costs by 100 basis points in 2025 sent the US Dollar sharply lower, to its lowest level since April 2022 last week.


Data released earlier this Wednesday showed that China's economy grew 5.4% in the first quarter from a year earlier, beating expectations. Other Chinese macro data – Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and Fixed Asset Investment – also came in better than estimates, though it was overshadowed by rising trade tensions with the US.


Investors now await comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell for more clues on the interest rate path, which will play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics. Apart from this, trade-related developments should provide some meaningful impetus to the XAU/USD pair, which seems poised to prolong the uptrend.


Gold price bulls might wait for some consolidation or modest pullback before placing fresh bets amid an overbought RSI



From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on daily/4-hour charts is flashing slightly overbought conditions and warrants some caution for bullish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest pullback before positioning for any further appreciating move for the Gold price.


In the meantime, any corrective pullback might now find some support near the $3,246-3,245 area ahead of the Asian session low, around the $3,230-3,229 region. Any further slide, however, might still be seen as a buying opportunity and is more likely to remain limited ahead of the $3,200 round-figure mark.

* The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

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