ETF criptográficos en 2025: ¿Qué vendrá para Solana , XRP , DOGE, Hedera y Cardano ?
El año 2024 marcó un hito histórico para el ecosistema de las criptomonedas. Fue testigo de la aprobación de los primeros fondos cotizados en bolsa (ETF) Bitcoin y Ethereum , lo que indica un cambio sísmico en la adopción institucional. Si nos basamos en la tasa de aprobación de enero, junto con la actual postura política de EE. UU. sobre los activos digitales, los Crypto ETF están preparados para un 2025 transformador.
Desde que se aprobaron los ETF criptográficos al contado, los vehículos de inversión han obtenido más del 5% del suministro total de Bitcoin , una cifra que supera incluso los 1,1 millones de BTC estimados asociados con el matic creador de Bitcoin , Satoshi Nakamoto .
Desde enero, la historia de los ETF criptográficos ha sido una de maduración continua del mercado. El lanzamiento de los ETF Bitcoin en enero, seguido de los ETF Ethereum en julio, ha sentado las bases para un panorama de ETF criptográficos más diversificado en 2025.
Los analistas predicen una ola de nuevas ofertas de ETF para los principales protocolos criptográficos, incluidos Solana , XRP , Litecoin (LTC), Hedera (HBAR) y otros.
El entorno regulatorio cambiante también juega un papel crítico. Con la salida del presidente de la SEC, Gary Gensler, una figura conocida por su postura "injusta" sobre los criptoactivos, y la nominación del pro-cripto Paul Atkins por el dent Donald Trump , las perspectivas para los cripto ETF en 2025 parecen significativamente más brillantes.
Un enfoque regulatorio más ligero podría allanar el camino para una aprobación más amplia de los ETF vinculados a diversas criptomonedas, integrando aún más los activos digitales en los principales mercados financieros.
Foco en los ETF Solana
Solana , una cadena de bloques de alto rendimiento con un ecosistema sólido que abarca finanzas descentralizadas, NFT y juegos, es una de las principales candidatas para la inclusión de ETF. En diciembre, la SEC rechazó solicitudes de ETF al contado Solana de varios emisores, citando obstáculos regulatorios .
🚨SCOOP: He confirmado que @SECGov ha notificado al menos a dos de los cinco posibles emisores que rechazará sus solicitudes 19b4 para los ETF al contado de $SOL .
El consenso aquí, me han dicho, es que la SEC no aceptará ningún nuevo #crypto ETF bajo la administración actual.
- Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett) 6 de diciembre de 2024
Despite this, optimism remains high for 2025, especially following Trump’s electoral win and the anticipated regulatory shift under Paul Atkins.
Major asset management firms like VanEck, 21Shares, and Canary Capital have filed for Solana ETFs, with applications gaining traction post-election.
“It appears the SEC is now engaging with issuers on this product, which is obviously a positive sign,” noted Nate Geraci.
Industry insiders believe Solana’s success, alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, will set a precedent for its approval by the end of 2025. However, analysts from JPMorgan caution that pending lawsuits regarding unregistered securities could delay Solana’s ETF timeline.
XRP: Legal clarity could build ETF approval potential
Ripple’s XRP has long been at the center of regulatory battles, with the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple Labs serving as a touchstone for broader crypto regulation. Despite this, analysts believe XRP ETFs are on the horizon, contingent on the resolution of its legal disputes.
WisdomTree, Bitwise, and Canary Capital have already filed for XRP ETFs, signaling growing institutional interest in the asset.
Bloomberg’s James Seyffart suggests that while Litecoin and Hedera ETFs might gain approval sooner, XRP’s potential ETF launch will attract significant investor attention. With its ongoing legal challenges nearing a curtain draw, XRP is poised to reenter the spotlight, bolstered by ETF filings and growing market demand.
Dogecoin and Hedera ETFs: Speculation meets reality
Dogecoin’s journey to ETF consideration, much like its whole crypto market journey, has been full of humor and speculation. The memecoin has won the hearts of netizens, and as funny as this sounds, inspired the naming of an Elon Musk-led unofficial US government office named the Department of Government Efficiency, acronymed as the coin itself, D.O.G.E.
I still can’t believe @DOGE is real 🤣🤣
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 25, 2024
Eric Balchunas had humorously hinted at the possibility of a Dogecoin ETF, but industry observers note that the concentrated holdings of DOGE present challenges for fair market assessments. Nevertheless, the more permissive regulatory stance anticipated in 2025 may open doors for DOGE-focused products.
Hedera, by contrast, stands on firmer ground. Its native token, HBAR, has not been classified as a security, giving it a regulatory edge. That said, only Canary Capital has made an application for a Hedera ETF. Bloomberg analysts suggest Hedera is among the most likely candidates to secure ETF approval among the likes of XRP, DOGE and ADA.
Cardano ETFs: A rising contender
Cardano (ADA) saw a surge in interest following its inclusion in Bitwise’s 10 Crypto Index Fund ETF application. The announcement triggered a seven-month high in ADA trading volume, alongside increased whale activity.
ETF expert Geraci also predicts that Cardano could join the US spot ETF market as soon as Solana and XRP get approved, further cementing its position as a top-tier cryptocurrency.
Crypto Capital Venture founder Dan Gambardello believes Cardano’s ecosystem developments and potential ETF approval could propel its price significantly. While regulatory clarity remains a prerequisite, Cardano’s growing institutional appeal positions it as a strong contender for ETF approval in 2025.
2025 is the year for crypto ETFs
As the crypto industry enters 2025, the rise of ETFs signals a new era of growth and maturity. Bitcoin is slowly solidifying its role as a global reserve asset, which is forcing watchdogs to clear the air on regulatory frameworks. It’s only a matter of time before the stage is set for widespread adoption.
The exponential growth of DeFi, stablecoins, and crypto ETFs highlights the transformative potential of digital assets in global finance. Supported by a more crypto-friendly administration, the industry is poised to render boundaries obsolete, which is why we believe 2025 could be the year for Crypto ETFs.
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