VanEck 预测 2025 年牛市，Bitcoin将达到 18 万美元，山寨币将下跌 60%
VanEck 的 2025 年加密货币预测
Bitcoin预计将在 2025 年初达到顶峰，随后在年中下跌 30%。夏季，山寨币可能面临高达 60% 的更大幅度调整。到 2025 年底，市场预计将复苏，主要加密货币将创下新高。
VanEck强调了市场见顶和可能调整的关键迹象。Bitcoin期货的高融资利率连续三个月保持在 10% 以上，可能表明市场过热。同样，如果许多Bitcoin持有者有超过 70% 的未实现利润，则可能表明市场兴奋，并且未来价格可能下跌。
VanEck 指出了市场见顶的更多迹象。如果 MVRV 比率超过 5，则可能意味着Bitcoin被高估。Bitcoin市场份额跌破 40% 可能表明投资者青睐风险较高的山寨币，标志着牛市的结束。
最后，当缺乏经验的投资者涌入投机资产时，可能意味着市场泡沫即将来临。
VanEck 🤝2025 年 10 个加密货币预测
预测#1：加密货币牛市在第一季度触及中期峰值，在第四季度创下新高。我们预计Bitcoin价值约为 180,000 美元，Ethereum交易价格将超过 6,000 美元， Solana将超过 500 美元，Sui 将超过 10 美元。
—范埃克 (@vaneck_us) 2024 年 12 月 13 日
Bitcoin’s acceptance
Bitcoin’s acceptance could increase the crypto market, especially in the U.S., VanEck predicts that governments and institutions might start holding Bitcoin reserves.
Donald Trump is poised to lead Bitcoin-friendly policies in the United States when he assumes the office of the president. States like Texas, Florida, and Pennsylvania are already showing interest in exploring Bitcoin investments.
The shift toward Bitcoin isn’t just in the U.S. Countries like Russia and Canada are also exploring Bitcoin reserves to protect against unstable fiat currencies. Vancouver has even approved a Bitcoin reserve to guard against inflation and market changes, showing growing global trust in Bitcoin’s value.
The role of stablecoins and institutional adoption
Stablecoins, digital currencies backed by assets like the U.S. dollar, are set to drive significant growth in the crypto market. VanEck predicts that daily stablecoin settlement volumes will increase from $100 billion to $300 billion by the end of 2025.
This surge will encourage the broader adoption of blockchain technology in payments and financial services, making it a key component of the global financial system.
Institutional interest in Bitcoin is also accelerating, with major players like ARK Invest projecting its value could surpass $1 million by 2030. Financial giants such as Morgan Stanley and Bank of America are steadily increasing their exposure to Bitcoin, also signaling its transition into mainstream investment portfolios.
This growing adoption highlights Bitcoin’s potential as a long-term asset for both individual and institutional investors.
Bitcoin and the future of finance
By 2025, the U.S. is expected to become the leader in Bitcoin mining, with lower energy costs and favorable government policies. Bitcoin’s use in the financial world will grow with the development of Layer-2 solutions which will make transactions faster and support decentralized apps (dApps). Additionally, tokenized securities, which are digital versions of traditional assets like stocks and bonds, will become more popular, reaching an estimated $50 billion in value.
As the crypto space evolves, AI-powered agents will change how decentralized finance (DeFi) and gaming work, further integrating Bitcoin into digital platforms.
By 2025, it’s expected that 100,000 BTC will be locked in Layer-2 solutions, showing how important Bitcoin will become in the wider blockchain ecosystem.
VanEck’s 2025 crypto prediction is bullish, with Bitcoin and Ethereum expected to hit new highs. Institutional adoption, government Bitcoin reserves, stablecoins, and AI tech signal growing integration into the global financial system.
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