Fed's Hammack sees more runway for balance sheet cuts

Source Fxstreet

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said on Wednesday that conditions still support ongoing reductions in the central bank's balance sheet. Hammack added that she believes some active management of market liquidity via Fed interventions is acceptable to her, per Reuters. 

Key quotes

Supports ongoing quantitative tightening (QT), a slower drawdown pace will allow a longer process.

Fed's balance sheet has shrunk from $9T to $6.8T since QT began in 2022.

Money market liquidity still appears abundant.

Supported Fed’s recent slowdown in balance sheet drawdown.

Some volatility in overnight markets is not a bad thing.

Sees possible cases for return to Fed repos depending on market conditions.

There are costs for keeping the Fed’s balance sheet too large.

Supports work to strengthen standing repo facility.

Costs of too-large balance sheet include market risk-taking.

Does not comment on economic outlook.

Market reaction 

At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading 0.21% lower on the day to trade at 99.68. 

Fed FAQs

Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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