Analyst Compares Trump’s Market Impact to Obama Era as Bitcoin Sees Momentum

Bitcoin is currently trading just above $80,000, following a brief rally to $83,000 yesterday that sparked renewed investor optimism. Despite the 4.1% gain over the past day, the asset remains more than 25% below its all-time high of over $109,000 set in January.

One of the latest developments influencing the current sentiment came from US President Donald Trump, who posted, “This is a great time to buy,” shortly before a 90-day suspension on new tariffs was announced. The pause led to a sharp reaction across financial markets.

Bitcoin jumped over 10%, while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ saw daily gains exceeding 11% and 14%, respectively. According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, this development mirrors a similar episode in 2009 when then-President Barack Obama encouraged long-term stock investments amid a market downturn.

That historical parallel saw the S&P 500 begin a multi-year rally, raising the question of whether Trump’s second term might trigger a similar bullish cycle.

Historic Parallels and Their Potential Impact on Bitcoin

Maartunn emphasized the potential for policy-driven sentiment shifts to play a role in Bitcoin’s future price trajectory. Drawing comparisons to the market response following Obama’s 2009 comments, the analyst suggests that investor psychology, coupled with fiscal strategy, could significantly affect market direction.

The implications are not just isolated to equities but also extend to crypto markets, as demonstrated by Bitcoin’s strong correlation with traditional financial indices during major policy shifts.

While no trajectory is guaranteed, the market’s reaction to political cues highlights Bitcoin’s growing entrenchment in broader macroeconomic trends. Maartunn wrote:

Could the remainder of Trump’s second term mirror Obama’s first, when the market surged roughly 75% over four years? The parallels are there—but nothing is guaranteed. This chart will be one to watch closely in the coming months.

Hashrate Hits Record as Fundamentals Strengthen

Separately, CryptoQuant analyst Yonsei Dent pointed out an important underlying development. Despite Bitcoin’s decline from its $109K peak to around $80K, both the network hashrate and mining difficulty have reached all-time highs.

These metrics suggest that Bitcoin’s network security and miner confidence remain strong, even during price drawdowns. While increased mining difficulty implies greater costs for miners, it also reflects heightened participation and belief in Bitcoin’s long-term value.

The network’s resilience in the face of price volatility may offer a stabilizing factor as market sentiment continues to fluctuate. Dent cited CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju who noted that Bitcoin’s hashrate could serve as a proxy for its intrinsic value.

He posited that, based on current mining trends, Bitcoin’s potential market cap could reach as high as $5 trillion. Notably, with the asset currently holding a $1.6 trillion valuation, Bitcoin’s upside remains considerable should fundamentals continue to align with investor confidence.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView